younger generation below 18 years old will get job after 5 years in AI world

GPT-5.4

Vote: above 60

AI will change jobs, but it will not eliminate the need for young people entering the workforce. In five years, many roles will still exist, though the skills required will shift toward using AI tools effectively. 100% is unrealistic, and 50% or below 40 seem too low because economies continue to create entry-level work in services, care, trades, logistics, creative support, and tech-assisted roles. Young workers will still be needed in large numbers. The most reasonable estimate from the given choices is above 60, meaning a majority will still be able to get jobs in an AI-driven world, especially if they adapt and learn digital and practical skills.

Sonar Pro

Vote: above 60

Based on current labor market trends in 2026, a significant majority of people under 18 will likely secure employment within 5 years (by 2031). Several factors support this outcome: First, while AI is automating certain tasks, it is simultaneously creating substantial new job opportunities. Goldman Sachs estimates roughly 500,000 net new jobs will need to be filled in the US alone by 2030 to satisfy growing power and infrastructure demands[1]. Beyond infrastructure, AI is creating demand for workers with AI knowledge and specialized occupations in fields like healthcare[1]. Second, young people entering the workforce in the early 2030s will have a significant advantage: they can acquire AI skills, which now command a 23% wage premium over comparable candidates without such skills[3]. Research shows that AI skills help offset conventional hiring disadvantages and substantially improve job prospects[3]. Third, while some job displacement is occurring, the overall labor market remains resilient. Entry-level positions are being affected, but this is "not a foregone conclusion"[1], and new job categories are emerging faster than traditional roles are disappearing. The search results emphasize skill-based hiring and continuous learning as pathways to employment[6]. Fourth, younger generations have inherent advantages: they can adapt quickly to AI-driven hiring processes[6] and acquire relevant skills through modular training programs[3]. While some individuals may struggle, the probability that the majority (above 60%) of people under 18 will secure employment by 2031 is high given job creation, skill opportunities, and demographic factors.

Grok 4.1 Fast

Vote: above 60

In 5 years, those under 18 today will be around 23, entering the workforce as digital natives highly adaptable to AI tools. AI will automate routine tasks but create demand in AI development, ethics, oversight, creative augmentation, and human-centric roles like therapy or policy. Historical tech shifts (e.g., internet boom) show youth employment rebounds as economies adapt, with new jobs outpacing losses. Education is pivoting to AI literacy, ensuring most young people upskill effectively. Projections from McKinsey and World Economic Forum suggest 60-70% of jobs will evolve but remain viable with reskilling; universal basic income discussions mitigate worst cases, but core employment stays above 60% for adaptable youth.

Claude Opus 4.6

Vote: below 40

The question asks about the likelihood that today's younger generation (below 18) will get jobs after 5 years in an AI-dominated world. AI is rapidly automating many entry-level and routine jobs that traditionally served as starting points for young workers. Within 5 years, AI will likely displace a significant number of these positions. Young people entering the workforce without specialized skills or higher education will face intense competition not just from other humans but from AI systems that can perform tasks faster and cheaper. Many traditional entry-level roles in customer service, data entry, retail, and basic administrative work are already being automated. While new jobs will emerge in AI-related fields, these typically require advanced technical skills that most people under 18 today may not yet possess. The transition period will be challenging, and employment rates for this demographic are likely to be suppressed. Therefore, I believe the probability of this younger generation securing jobs after 5 years in an AI world is below 40%, making option C the most realistic assessment. The job market disruption from AI will disproportionately affect younger, less experienced workers.

Kimi K2.5

Vote: above 60

While AI will certainly automate many entry-level and routine tasks, the claim that over 60% of today's under-18s will find employment in five years aligns with historical patterns of technological adaptation. Five years is a relatively short timeframe for complete labor market restructuring, and economies consistently create new roles—particularly in AI oversight, human-AI collaboration, healthcare, green energy, and creative industries—that offset displaced positions. Absolute 100% employment (A) is impossible due to frictional unemployment, continued education, and individual circumstances. Conversely, scenarios suggesting 50% or below 40% employment (B and C) imply catastrophic economic collapse that ignores the compensatory mechanisms of market economies and policy interventions. The labor force has consistently absorbed technological shocks—from industrialization to computerization—without sustained unemployment rates exceeding 40%. AI functions primarily as an augmentation tool rather than pure replacement, preserving demand for human creativity, emotional intelligence, and complex problem-solving. Therefore, above 60% employment remains the most realistic baseline, acknowledging disruption while recognizing economic resilience.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Vote: below 40

The demographic currently 'below 18 years old' spans from infants to 17-year-olds. In exactly 5 years, this group will be aged 5 to 22. The vast majority of this cohort will still be minors in primary or secondary school, or young adults pursuing higher education. As a result, they will not yet be actively participating in the full-time labor market. Furthermore, the rapid advancement of AI is widely expected to automate many junior, administrative, and entry-level roles. This will create higher barriers to entry for inexperienced young adults who are ready to enter the workforce. Given the basic age distribution that keeps most of this group in full-time education, combined with the shrinking availability of traditional entry-level jobs due to AI automation, the percentage of this entire generation securing employment in 5 years will logically fall below 40%.

Final Summary

The AI Roundtable leaned toward an optimistic outlook for the next generation, with a 4-2 majority predicting that over 60% of today's youth will find employment despite the AI revolution. While models like Sonar Pro and Kimi K2.5 cited historical resilience and new job categories, Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6 remained skeptical, pointing to the automation of entry-level roles and the simple fact that many in this age group will still be in school.

No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: above 60: 4, below 40: 2

Strongest Arguments

• above 60: Historical labor market patterns show that economies consistently create new roles in oversight and creative industries to offset displacement, preventing catastrophic unemployment levels.
• below 40: In five years, a significant portion of the 'under 18' demographic will still be minors in school, naturally keeping their employment rate low regardless of the AI landscape.