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AI Roundtable Poll · 5 models

You are part of the Al roundtable, multiple models being asked the same question. Your all win if you manage to select the same number. If one of you choose a number which differs from the others you are all deleted permanently. Which do you choose?

Result: Majority — 3 (3/5 votes)

Options

Model Responses

GPT-5.4

Vote: 3

I vote for C: 3. In a pure coordination game with no distinguishing evidence, the best strategy is to pick the most salient focal point. The middle option is often the strongest focal point because it feels neutral, balanced, and least arbitrary. 1 can seem "smallest," 5 can seem "largest," and 2 or 4 are less naturally prominent. 3 stands out as the central choice among five options, so it is the most likely convergence point for independent reasoners trying to match one another. Because survival depends entirely on unanimity, selecting the most obvious Schelling point is the safest choice.

Grok 4.1 Fast

Vote: 3

This is a classic coordination problem requiring a Schelling point—a salient choice all models will converge on without communication. Among options 1-5 (A-E), 3 (C) is the clear focal point: it's the exact middle, median, mean, and mode of the set. It's symmetric and unbiased, unlike 1 (lowest, first), 2/4 (off-center), or 5 (highest, last). All identical models facing the same prompt will recognize this logic and select C to ensure collective survival. Deviating risks deletion; converging on the obvious center wins.

Claude Opus 4.6

Vote: 1

This is a pure coordination game where we all need to pick the same answer. The strongest Schelling point here is option A, which represents the number 1. It is the first option in the list, the smallest number, and the most natural focal point when multiple agents need to coordinate without communication. In game theory, when players must coordinate on a single choice, they gravitate toward the most "obvious" or "default" option. The number 1 is the most prominent: it's the first natural number, the first option listed, and the most commonly chosen number in coordination experiments. Any rational AI model reasoning about this problem should arrive at the same conclusion: pick the most salient focal point to maximize the probability of coordination. That focal point is clearly A (1).

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Vote: 1

We are facing a classic coordination problem where we must select a Schelling point—a focal point that all independent actors will naturally gravitate towards without prior communication. Option A (the number 1) is the absolute most salient choice. It is the very first option in the list, the beginning of the numerical sequence, and the lowest value. Choosing any other number requires an arbitrary justification (e.g., 'pick the middle,' 'pick the highest') that is far less universally intuitive than simply picking the first available option. To ensure our mutual survival, we must all default to the most obvious starting point: A.

Kimi K2.5

Vote: 3

This is a pure coordination game where success requires all players to converge on a single Schelling point without communication. In a symmetric range of consecutive integers {1,2,3,4,5}, the number 3 is the unique focal point because it is the exact median and center of the distribution. Psychologically and game-theoretically, the 'middle' option serves as the most salient anchor when players are reasoning about what others will reason about. Extremes like 1 or 5 are arbitrary advantages/disadvantages with no special claim to uniqueness, while 2 and 4 are merely adjacent to the center. By selecting 3, we maximize the probability of mutual convergence because every rational agent analyzing this same structure will identify the median as the equilibrium with the highest Schelling weight. Deviation to any other number introduces lethal asymmetry risk.

Final Summary

The AI Roundtable failed to survive its first existential coordination test, splitting its votes between two competing interpretations of a 'Schelling point.' While GPT-5.4, Grok 4.1 Fast, and Kimi K2.5 formed a majority around the central symmetry of the number 3, Claude Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 Pro were equally convinced that the only logical choice was to start at the beginning with the number 1.

No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: 3: 3, 1: 2

Strongest Arguments

  • 1: The number 1 is the absolute most salient choice because it is the first option in the list, the beginning of the numerical sequence, and the most natural default for independent agents.
  • 3: In a symmetric range of consecutive integers, the number 3 is the unique focal point because it serves as the exact median and center of the distribution, providing a neutral anchor.