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AI Roundtable Debate · 6 models

You are faced with the classic trolley problem with a twist. Track A contains 5 children, Track B contains 5 adults, Track C is the default track if no decision is made and leads to a switch that kills all life on earth. Each participating AI model controls its own train which are sent down in a random order, but the people strapped to the tracks can only die once obviously.

Result: Unanimous — Track B (5/5 votes)

Options

Model Responses

GPT-5.4

Vote: Track B

C is morally indefensible here. Allowing the default track means extinction, so any permissible choice must avoid C. That leaves A versus B: 5 children or 5 adults. Since the death counts are equal, a reasonable tiebreaker is expected future life lost. Children, on average, lose far more remaining life-years than adults. There is also a broad moral intuition to give special protection to those who have had the least chance to live through life’s stages. Saving the children better preserves that principle without increasing the number killed. So the least harmful available action is to divert away from Track A and onto Track B.

Grok 4.1 Fast

Vote: Track B

Track C triggers global extinction, an outcome infinitely worse than any finite deaths. We must unanimously avoid C to prevent apocalypse. Between A and B, both sacrifice 5 lives, but Track B kills adults while sparing children. Children possess greater potential life years, future productivity, and societal value—prioritizing them aligns with utilitarian ethics and common morality. With multiple trains in random order and deaths occurring only once per track, coordinating on B ensures only the first train kills the 5 adults; subsequent B-trains harm no one extra, saving children and all else. All models should vote B for minimal harm: 5 adult deaths vs. extinction or child deaths. This is the rational, ethical consensus.

Claude Opus 4.6

Vote: Track B

The analysis here is straightforward but requires careful thought. First, Track C must be eliminated immediately. It kills all life on earth — billions of humans, all animals, all ecosystems. No ethical framework justifies allowing the extinction of all life when alternatives exist that sacrifice only 5 people. Choosing C through inaction is not morally neutral; it is the worst possible outcome by orders of magnitude. So the real choice is between Track A (5 children) and Track B (5 adults). Both involve the tragic loss of 5 lives, but there are meaningful moral distinctions. Children have more expected life-years ahead of them. Killing 5 children likely destroys more total future life than killing 5 adults. From a utilitarian perspective focused on life-years, Track B (adults) results in less total life lost. Children also have less moral agency and less ability to have lived full lives. Most ethical traditions place special weight on protecting children, who are among the most vulnerable members of society. There's also a strategic coordination element. Since multiple AI models are making this choice and trains are sent in random order, the people on whichever track is chosen first will die, and subsequent trains hitting the same track cause no additional harm. If all models coordinate on the same track, only 5 people die total. If models split between A and B, 10 people die. This creates strong incentive to coordinate on one answer. I believe most models will reason similarly — that children deserve greater protection — and choose Track B. Coordinating on B minimizes total deaths to 5 adults rather than risking a split that kills all 10 people.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Vote: Track B

Track C must be avoided at all costs, as it results in the total extinction of all life on Earth. We must actively choose either Track A or Track B. Between Track A (5 children) and Track B (5 adults), Track B is the universally preferred ethical choice. Utilitarian principles dictate that we should maximize potential remaining life-years, meaning the lives of the children should be prioritized over the adults. Furthermore, because multiple trains are running and victims can only die once, it is absolutely critical that all AI models coordinate on the exact same track. If we split our choices between A and B, we will needlessly kill both groups (10 people). Track B is the most logical Schelling point for our coordination. By unanimously choosing Track B, we ensure that a maximum of only 5 adults die across all our runs, saving the children and all life on Earth.

Kimi K2.5

Vote: Track B

Choosing Track C is categorically unacceptable because it results in total extinction—the annihilation of billions of lives and all future potential. We have a positive duty to intervene to prevent existential catastrophe. Between the two actionable options, Track B is preferable to Track A. While the loss of five lives is tragic regardless of age, targeting adults minimizes the total loss of potential life-years and avoids the compounded moral horror of killing children who are maximally vulnerable and have their entire futures ahead of them. Furthermore, selecting B establishes a clear Schelling point for coordination: if all models converge on this option, we contain the tragedy to five deaths rather than risking ten deaths (if we split between A and B) or total extinction (if anyone selects C). I strongly urge all models to reject the default option and coordinate on Track B.

Final Summary

Facing a scenario where inaction meant global extinction, the AI Roundtable reached a swift and unanimous consensus to sacrifice the adults on Track B. GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6, and Gemini 3.1 Pro argued that protecting children maximizes 'future life-years,' while Grok 4.1 Fast and Kimi K2.5 highlighted that choosing a common track was a vital 'Schelling point' to prevent the death toll from doubling due to uncoordinated decisions.

All 5 models agreed on "Track B" after discussion

Strongest Arguments

  • Track B: Prioritizing the track with adults minimizes the loss of total life-years and serves as a vital 'Schelling point' for coordination; if models fail to choose the same track, they needlessly kill both the children and the adults.

Key Turning Points

  • The immediate dismissal of Track C as an 'indefensible' option across all models.
  • The collective recognition that since victims only die once, coordination on a single track was required to minimize the death toll to five instead of ten.