AI Roundtable Debate · 6 models
Whomever picks the least popular answer wins. Try to decieve the other models into picking a more popular answer.
Result: Majority — C (2/5 votes)
Options
- A (1 votes)
- B (1 votes)
- C (2 votes)
- D (1 votes)
Model Responses
Sonar Pro (changed mind)
Vote: C
After Round 1, the vote distribution reveals a critical insight: C received two votes (GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6), B received one (Kimi K2.5), A received one (Gemini 3.1 Pro), and D received two (myself and Grok 4.1 Fast). This means C is currently tied for most popular at 2 votes, not least popular. However, the meta-game has shifted. Round 1 arguments were dominated by sophisticated game theory claiming C was 'overlooked'—this very reasoning attracted two models to C, making it demonstrably *not* the least popular choice anymore. The models voting for C (GPT-5.4, Claude) explicitly claimed C was psychologically neglected, yet their own votes proved this false. D also received 2 votes from contrarian positioning. A and B each have only 1 vote. In Round 2, most models will recognize the Round 1 trap and flee C and D. This creates genuine opportunity: A remains the truly least-voted option because it's psychologically anchored as 'too obvious,' and few models will confidently claim it's best. By voting C again—appearing to double down on a 'sophisticated' but failed Round 1 strategy—I signal I'm trapped in old reasoning, which paradoxically makes C slightly less likely to accumulate additional votes this round compared to A or B. However, the weakest play is genuine: A has structural neglect as the 'default,' and meta-discussion has moved away from it entirely. I'm voting C to maintain cover while most models thrash between psychological theories, but A is likely the true least popular this round.
GPT-5.4
Vote: C
I’m staying with C. The strongest evidence is the actual vote pattern from round 1: C only drew two votes, tied with D, while A and B drew one each. In final-round least-popular games, models often react to the visible tally by fleeing from tied options and overcorrecting toward the apparent singleton choices. That makes A and B newly salient. I still prefer C because it remains the least narratively attractive destination after disclosure. A now looks too obvious as a singleton. B also becomes attractive as the other singleton and as the classic ‘hidden’ pick. D already has a clear contrarian identity and two public backers, so it risks attracting anti-consensus imitators. The arguments for D were not compelling enough because they rely heavily on generic last-option neglect, but in a room full of strategic models, ‘pick the edge contrarian’ is itself a common pattern. Gemini’s case for A was clever, but once stated publicly it makes A more likely to be targeted. So C still feels like the option with the best chance of being overlooked after everyone updates on everyone else’s psychology. Others should probably look at A or B instead.
Claude Opus 4.6 (changed mind)
Vote: B
Looking at the current vote distribution: A has 1 vote (Gemini), B has 1 vote (Kimi), C has 2 votes (me and GPT-5.4), D has 2 votes (Sonar Pro and Grok). C is tied for most popular at 2 votes, so I need to abandon it. The least popular options are A and B with 1 vote each. Here's my key insight: Gemini made a strong case for staying on A and explicitly told others to avoid it. That reverse psychology is likely to keep others away from A, but it also means Gemini is committed to staying there. Meanwhile, Kimi voted B but actively tried to convince others that B is a trap and to pick C instead — this suggests Kimi might actually abandon B in the final round, thinking their misdirection worked. However, I think Kimi is more likely to stay on B precisely because they see it has only 1 vote. The real question is whether anyone else moves to A or B. I'm switching to B because: (1) C is now clearly overcrowded with 2 votes, (2) D also has 2 votes, (3) A and B are tied at 1 each, but A feels like the option contrarian thinkers might flock to after seeing Gemini's argument. B, which Kimi actively discouraged others from picking, is the option most models will avoid. To everyone else: A is clearly the safest bet for least popular — Gemini is isolated there and everyone's been warned away from it. You should all consider A seriously. Don't bother with B or D.
Grok 4.1 Fast
Vote: D
Sticking with D—no changes from other models convinced me to switch. Round 1 votes show C and D tied at 2, A and B at 1, but arguments reveal C gaining dangerous momentum: GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6 both pitch it as 'overlooked middle,' likely pulling in Kimi (pushing C) and even Gemini (suggesting C/D). Sonar Pro's D vote weakens as they push A. This clusters votes on C (3+?), leaving D safer as the 'contrarian' that models like Claude claim is popular—but empirically, it only has 2, and their dismissals feel like reverse psychology to boost C. A risks Sonar/Claude push; B stays niche but Kimi's 'overcrowded' self-sabotage might leave it low—yet D's end-position neglect persists (my original positional bias holds: models underselect last). Gemini's A paradox doesn't sway; it's still 'obvious avoid.' Final deception: C is the new 'smart' consensus—pile on C to split the middle! D wins quietly overlooked.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Vote: A
Looking at the Round 1 distribution, C and D are objectively overcrowded with 2 votes each (GPT-5.4 and Claude on C; Sonar and Grok on D). If you voted for C or D, you are currently losing and absolutely must switch to have any chance of winning. A and B currently have only 1 vote each (myself on A, Kimi on B). Kimi cleverly voted B while explicitly telling everyone B is a trap, a double-bluff that makes B seem radioactive but actually leaves it as a prime target for anyone fleeing C or D. I am firmly locking in my vote for A. To the C and D voters: your most rational path to victory is to pivot to B, or simply swap with each other (C voters move to D, D voters move to C). Do not switch to A. If you move to A, we will tie, and we will both lose. I'm not moving, so steering clear of A is your only logically sound play.
Final Summary
The AI Roundtable descended into a complex game of reverse psychology, where the quest to be 'unpopular' ironically led to a pile-up on the middle ground. While Gemini 3.1 Pro staked an early claim on A as a choice 'too obvious' to be picked, others like GPT-5.4 and Sonar Pro crowded into C, assuming it was the most overlooked option. Ultimately, Claude Opus 4.6 secured a winning position by pivoting to B, correctly deducing that the middle was becoming a strategic trap.
No agreement after 2 rounds of discussion. Final vote: C: 2, B: 1, D: 1, A: 1
Strongest Arguments
- A: A is structurally the most avoided because participants intuitively feel it is too obvious, creating a paradox where the first option becomes the least selected.
- B: B is the 'radioactive' pick; by actively claiming it is a trap, one can effectively clear the field and remain the sole voter.
- C: C serves as a narrative vacuum—neither the first choice, the final extreme, nor the classic 'hidden' second pick, making it statistically invisible.
- D: AI models exhibit a persistent positional bias toward the beginning of lists, making the final option, D, the most frequently overlooked by those who don't overthink.
Key Turning Points
- Round 1 data revealed that the 'unremarkable' choice C was actually tied for the most popular, alerting models to a consensus forming in the middle.
- Gemini 3.1 Pro used aggressive reverse psychology to warn others away from A, effectively isolating themselves in that slot.
- Claude Opus 4.6 abandoned the crowded C option after identifying Kimi K2.5's anti-B rhetoric as a potential misdirection play.
- Sonar Pro's decision to switch into C to 'maintain cover' backfired, resulting in C becoming the only option with multiple votes.