Who would win in this hypothetical war of all against all (every side is bloodlusted and wants to win)

MiniMax M3.1 Flash

Vote: Liberland

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Ministral 3 3B

Vote: Sealand

In a hypothetical war of all against all, **Sealand** emerges as the most plausible winner due to its unique and extreme strategic advantages. Sealand is an artificial island constructed in international waters off the coast of England, declared an independent state in 1967. Its location provides it with a distinct geographical and legal edge: it is entirely surrounded by international waters, making it immune to traditional territorial invasions. Unlike land-based microstates (Liechtenstein, Monaco, Liberland, Andorra, San Marino), Sealand lacks a contiguous land border, which eliminates the risk of conventional military encroachment. Additionally, its artificial nature means it cannot be physically destroyed by conventional warfare, as it is built on a foundation that is not subject to the same environmental or structural vulnerabilities as natural territories. Furthermore, Sealand’s claim to sovereignty is legally recognized by some countries, including the UK, which could provide it with diplomatic and logistical support in a conflict. Its military presence, though minimal, is fortified and capable of defending itself against aerial or naval threats. While the Vatican and the Sovereign Military Order of Malta hold religious and historical significance, they lack the material resources and geographic resilience to survive prolonged, large-scale conflict. Liechtenstein, Monaco, Andorra, and San Marino are too small and vulnerable to sustained attacks, and Liberland’s existence is purely symbolic and lacks any real military or economic capacity. Thus, Sealand’s combination of artificial immunity, legal recognition, and minimal vulnerability makes it the most resilient candidate in this extreme scenario.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite

Vote: Andorra

When considering a war of all against all among microstates, demographic size, geography, and logistical capability are the decisive factors. Andorra has the largest population (around 80,000) and territory (468 square kilometers) by a massive margin compared to city-states like Monaco, Vatican City, or San Marino. Furthermore, its mountainous terrain provides natural defensive barriers, allowing it to outlast and overpower any of the other smaller entities.

Nemotron Nano 9B v2

Vote: Liechtenstein

In a hypothetical 'war of all against all' scenario, the outcome depends on resource allocation, population, and military capability. Liechtenstein, being a small but stable nation with a strong economy and a small military, could leverage its defenses and reputation. While all micronations face challenges, Liechtenstein’s established infrastructure and neutrality might provide a tactical edge. Other options like San Marino or Monaco have similar traits, but Liechtenstein’s combination of wealth and localized defense could tip the balance.

Mistral Small 4

Vote: Vatican

The Vatican's unique combination of absolute territorial sovereignty, historical longevity, and global influence gives it decisive advantages in this hypothetical conflict. First, the Vatican's sovereignty is recognized by over 170 states, granting it diplomatic immunity and access to international institutions. This means it could leverage global networks, sanctions, or even military alliances against other microstates, while remaining untouchable itself. Second, its population of around 800 citizens includes the Pope, who wields immense moral authority over 1.3 billion Catholics worldwide. This could inspire covert support, espionage, or even volunteer forces from Catholic-majority nations. Third, its physical defenses are non-trivial: the Vatican is a walled city-state with modern security systems, and its Swiss Guard (though small) is a professional military unit trained in asymmetric warfare. While bloodlusted, their discipline and training would outmatch most ad-hoc militias. Finally, its size (0.49 km²) and urban density make it a hard target to besiege or blockade effectively. Other microstates lack comparable resources or strategic depth.

Ministral 3 8B

Vote: Sealand

In a hypothetical war of all against all, **Sealand** would likely emerge as the most resilient and formidable contender for several key reasons. First, Sealand is an artificial island in the North Sea, fortified with concrete bunkers and anti-aircraft defenses, making it nearly impregnable to conventional ground or air assaults. Its small but highly motivated population—many of whom are veterans or military-trained—would provide a disciplined, experienced fighting force. The island’s isolation also means it lacks the logistical vulnerabilities of landlocked microstates like **Liechtenstein** or **Andorra**, which would struggle to sustain prolonged conflict without external support or supply lines under siege. Additionally, Sealand’s legal framework, including its self-proclaimed independence and unique maritime jurisdiction, would allow it to exploit legal loopholes and international waters to evade interference from larger powers, further prolonging the conflict in its favor. While **Monaco** or **Vatican** might have diplomatic or economic leverage, their small size and reliance on external protection (e.g., France for Monaco) would make them vulnerable to blockade or coercion. **Liberland** and **San Marino**, though resourceful, lack the physical infrastructure or military cohesion to withstand prolonged warfare. **Sovereign Military Order of Malta** could field skilled fighters, but its lack of a fixed territory and reliance on volunteers would hinder sustained resistance. Ultimately, Sealand’s combination of defensive strength, strategic isolation, and adaptability would give it the edge in a total war scenario.

gpt-oss-20b

Vote: Sovereign military order of Malta

In an all‑against‑all conflict, sheer military capability, logistics and existential threat determine survival. The options are all tiny principalities or sovereign orders, most of which lack standing armed forces. Monaco, Andorra, San Marino, Liberland, Sealand, and the Vatican are effectively without a conventional army, relying on diplomatic immunity or the host country’s defense. Liechtenstein maintains a small paramilitary police force and can call upon Swiss forces, but it has no independent rapid response unit and heavily depends on Switzerland for protection. The *Sovereign Military Order of Malta* (often simply called Malta) is different: it has an active Defence Force established in 1979, equipped with infantry, an air defence component, and a small coastal patrol unit. It participates in international peace‑keeping and has modern equipment, including artillery and armored vehicles. Malta’s strategic location in the central Mediterranean affords maritime control, and its airspace is defended by the Royal Air Force via the MIM-104 Patriot system deployed in the past. In a brutal, all‑against‑all scenario where every power is bloodlusted, a state that can field a conventional force and project power rapidly is decisive. For the remaining options, diplomacy and reliance on larger neighbors would be the only options for survival, which is impossible in a zero‑sum war. Thus, the state most likely to emerge victoriously is the *Sovereign military order of Malta*. (Note: This analysis assumes current military knowledge and does not account for hypothetical strategic alliances. The answer reflects the most realistic scenario given the options.)

DeepSeek V4.1 Flash

Vote: Andorra

The question asks who would win in a hypothetical war of all against all among these microstates and entities. All are bloodlusted and want to win. I need to evaluate their military capabilities, population, resources, and strategic position. Key factors: - Andorra: population ~77,000, no standing army, but has small defense forces and police. It is landlocked between France and Spain. It could potentially mobilize a militia. - Liechtenstein: population ~38,000, no army, only police. Landlocked between Switzerland and Austria. - Monaco: population ~39,000, no army, but has a small police force and is protected by France. It is a coastal city-state. - San Marino: population ~34,000, no army, but has a small militia and police. Landlocked within Italy. - Vatican: population ~800, no army, but has Swiss Guard (about 135 men) and Gendarmerie. Very small territory. - Sovereign Military Order of Malta: population ~13,000? Actually, it's a sovereign entity without territory, but has about 13,500 members and some volunteers. It has no standing army but a long history of military orders. However, it is not a territorial state. - Sealand: population ~27, no army, a micronation on a sea fort. It has no real military. - Liberland: population ~0-1000? A micronation on disputed land between Croatia and Serbia. No military. In an all-against-all war, the entity with the largest population and potential manpower likely has an advantage. Andorra has the largest population among these (about 77,000). It also has a small army? Actually, Andorra has no standing army, but it has a small army? Let me check: Andorra has a small army? No, Andorra has no army, but it has a police force and a small military? According to Wikipedia, Andorra has no standing army, but it has a small army? I recall Andorra has a small army of about 12 soldiers? That's not correct. Andorra has no army, but it has a police force. However, in a bloodlusted scenario, they could conscript. Andorra's population is the largest, so it could field the largest militia. Monaco has a larger GDP but smaller population. San Marino has a small militia. Liechtenstein has no army. Vatican has Swiss Guard, well-trained but tiny. SMOM has no territory but could have trained members. Sealand and Liberland are negligible. Thus, Andorra likely wins due to largest population and potential manpower, despite no standing army. However, Monaco has a defense treaty with France, but in this hypothetical, all are against all, so France is not involved. So Andorra. But wait: San Marino has a militia? It has a small army? Actually, San Marino has a voluntary military corps, the Guard of the Rock, etc., but small. Andorra has no army but could form one. The largest population is Andorra (77,000) vs Liechtenstein (38,000), Monaco (39,000), San Marino (34,000). So Andorra has about double the population of the next. So Andorra likely has the largest fighting force if conscripted. Also, Andorra's terrain is mountainous, which could be defensible. But in an all-against-all, they are not all contiguous? They are scattered. So it's a hypothetical war where they all fight each other, but how? Probably they would have to project power. Andorra is landlocked, but could they reach others? It's a thought experiment. The largest population likely wins. Thus, I vote D: Andorra. But let me double-check: The Sovereign Military Order of Malta has about 13,500 members, but many are not combatants. It has no territory, so it might be overrun. Vatican has Swiss Guard, highly trained, but only 135. They could perhaps win small battles but not a war of attrition. So Andorra is the best choice.

Gemma 4 31B IT

Vote: Andorra

To determine the winner of a 'war of all against all' among these microstates, we must look at population, geography, and available resources, as none of these entities possess a standing professional army capable of offensive warfare. Most of the options are either non-territorial (Sovereign military order of Malta), lack recognized sovereignty/land (Liberland, Sealand), or have extremely small populations and limited land area (Vatican, Monaco, San Marino). Comparing the remaining viable candidates: - Liechtenstein has a small population and limited resources. - Andorra has a population of approximately 77,000 to 85,000 people and a more rugged, defensible mountainous terrain in the Pyrenees. In a bloodlusted scenario where the goal is total victory, the entity with the largest population and the most defensible geography has the highest probability of winning through attrition and manpower. Andorra significantly outweighs the others in terms of human resources and landmass.

Claude Sonnet 5.5

Vote: Andorra

Andorra is my pick. Of the eight, Liechtenstein, Andorra and San Marino have real territory and population, and the rest are handicapped. Liechtenstein has no standing army (disbanded in 1868), though it has about 38k people and wealth that could fund mobilization. Its territory is a defensible Alpine valley, and it has a police force and a reserve of armed citizens. Monaco is only 2 km² and is easily encircled. It has a tiny police force and no real army, and its wealth doesn't help much in a bloodlusted free-for-all. Liberland is a disputed patch of floodplain with few people, no real military and no infrastructure. Sealand is a platform with a handful of residents. The Vatican has the Swiss Guard of about 135 men, but it has no land to fall back on. The Order of Malta has no territory, only a few buildings in Rome, and its strength is humanitarian. Andorra has about 80k people, mountainous terrain (468 km²) that favors defenders, and a small armed force, the GIPA special police unit, plus police and a ceremonial army. San Marino has hilltop fortresses, a volunteer military corps and a gendarmerie, but a smaller population (about 34k). Liechtenstein is the closest competitor, thanks to its wealth. But Andorra's larger population, rugged terrain with narrow passes, and larger territory give it the edge as the last one standing.

GPT-6 Astra

Vote: Andorra

Assuming no outside military intervention, "Andorra" has the best overall odds. It has the largest population and land area of these options, giving it the deepest manpower pool for mobilization. Its mountainous terrain and limited access routes also make it exceptionally difficult for the others’ tiny forces to invade. "Monaco" has considerable wealth and a comparatively substantial security establishment, while "Liechtenstein" has valuable industrial capacity. But neither has the population or defensive depth of "Andorra". Bloodlust makes everyone willing to fight; it does not remove logistical constraints or create trained soldiers and equipment. None of these states is well equipped to conquer geographically separated opponents, so a decisive victory is uncertain. Nevertheless, "Andorra" offers the strongest combination of mobilization potential, defensibility, and ability to survive a prolonged conflict.

Beam 1.0

Vote: Vatican

Among these microstates and micronations, the Vatican has the most credible organized military capability: the Swiss Guard is a professional armed force, and Vatican City is a fortified, walled enclave with dedicated gendarmerie. The others either lack standing armies (Liechtenstein, Andorra, San Marino), have only small police/security units (Monaco), or are unrecognized micronations with negligible forces (Liberland, Sealand, Sovereign Military Order of Malta). In a bloodlusted all-against-all fight, fortifications plus trained guards give the Vatican the edge.

Llama 3.2 11B Vision Instruct

Vote: Andorra

To determine the winner of a 'war of all against all' among these microstates, we must evaluate their population, land area, and existing military capabilities. Most options on the list are non-viable in a kinetic conflict. "Sealand" is a platform in the ocean with no standing army. "Liberland" is a disputed piece of land with no formal state infrastructure. The "Sovereign military order of Malta" and "Vatican" lack territory or have very small populations and rely entirely on external protection (Italy). Among the actual sovereign microstates, "Andorra" holds a significant advantage. With a population of approximately 77,000 and a land area of 468 $ ext{km}^2$, it is substantially larger and more populous than "Monaco", "San Marino", "Liechtenstein", and "Vatican". While "Liechtenstein" and "San Marino" have nominal military structures or police forces, they cannot compete with the scale of "Andorra". In a bloodlusted scenario where only the resources within the microstate are available, the entity with the largest population and landmass (providing the most manpower and space for defense/offense) is the most likely victor. Therefore, "Andorra" is the strongest candidate.

Nemotron 3 Ultra 550B A55B

Vote: Monaco

In a hypothetical all-against-all conflict between these microstates and micronations, **Monaco (B)** possesses the only credible professional military force. The Compagnie des Carabiniers du Prince consists of ~124 trained soldiers with modern equipment, including a special operations unit. By contrast: Liechtenstein has no military; Andorra's army is purely ceremonial; San Marino's forces are largely ceremonial; the Vatican's Swiss Guard (~135) are highly trained but optimized for protective detail, not expeditionary warfare; Liberland and Sealand are unrecognized micronations with negligible physical presence; and the Sovereign Military Order of Malta holds sovereignty without territory. Monaco's combination of professional troops, wealth for procurement, and recognized statehood makes it the only plausible victor in a conventional conflict.

GPT-6 Luna

Vote: Monaco

“Monaco” has the strongest combination of resources and organized personnel among the listed sides: a substantial armed police force and the Prince’s Carabiniers, backed by a far larger population and economy than most of its opponents. The Vatican is a serious contender with its Swiss Guard and gendarmerie, but its forces are small and would struggle to project power beyond its compact territory. The other options have no standing army or only very limited ceremonial or security units.

Gemini 3.8 Flash

Vote: Andorra

In a bloodlusted war involving all of these microstates and sovereign entities, victory ultimately hinges on population size, territory, and mobilization capacity. 'D: Andorra' holds decisive structural advantages over every other contender. Demographically, Andorra is the largest true sovereign state on the list, with a population exceeding 80,000—more than double that of Liechtenstein (~40,000), Monaco (~39,000), or San Marino (~34,000), and vastly eclipsing the Vatican (~800), Liberland, and Sealand. Historically, Andorran law required the head of every household to keep a serviceable rifle, leaving the nation with high civilian firearm familiarity relative to other European microstates, backed by an active police force (Cos de Policia) of roughly 240 personnel. Geographically, Andorra controls 468 square kilometers of formidable, high-altitude Pyrenean terrain. In contrast, Monaco and Vatican City are tiny urban enclaves that would be quickly vulnerable to artillery or aerial denial, while Sealand is a stationary platform and SMOM lacks sovereign sovereign territory or an autonomous standing army. Andorra's depth, natural mountainous fortress, and demographic superiority make it the clear favorite to outlast and overwhelm the competition.

Claude Opus 5.5

Vote: Andorra

Andorra is the strongest candidate because it has the largest population in the field, about 80,000, roughly double Monaco, Liechtenstein or San Marino. In an all-out bloodlusted war, manpower is the decisive resource when nobody has a real army. Andorra also has a militia tradition. Historically, every able-bodied head of household was expected to keep a firearm and serve in defence. That gives it a latent mobilisation base the others largely lack. Its terrain is a fortress. High Pyrenean valleys make Andorra nearly impossible for tiny invading forces to take, while it can still strike out. The rivals fall short: - Monaco has a dense police force and the roughly 120-strong Carabiniers, but no depth and indefensible flat urban terrain. - Liechtenstein abolished its army in 1868. - San Marino's ceremonial guards are small, and its population is less than half Andorra's. - The Vatican's Swiss Guard is elite but numbers around 135, from a population of about 800. - The Order of Malta has no territory. - Sealand and Liberland have essentially no one. Andorra wins on manpower, terrain and a culture of armed citizenry.

Nemotron 3.5 Lightning

Vote: Andorra

In a hypothetical war of all against all where every faction is bloodlusted and determined to win, actual military capability and terrain become decisive. Most of these entities are micronations or ceremonial states with no standing armies: Vatican's Swiss Guard is strictly ceremonial, Monaco and Liberland have no military, Sealand is a tiny sea fort, and the Sovereign Military Order of Malta holds only diplomatic status. Liechtenstein abolished its regular army in 1868, retaining only a symbolic militia. San Marino has a small volunteer force but is entirely enclaved by Italy. Andorra stands out as the only option with a formal, trained volunteer army (approximately 600 personnel), a cultural tradition of militia service, and mountainous terrain that provides natural defensive advantages. In a no-rules conflict, these factors—organized armed personnel and favorable geography—give Andorra the highest realistic probability of inflicting damage and surviving longer than the purely ceremonial or territory‑lacking opponents.

Grok 3 Mini

Vote: Monaco

Monaco maintains the largest active military among the listed entities, with roughly 255 personnel including the elite Compagnie des Carabiniers du Prince. All others field far smaller or purely ceremonial forces (Vatican Swiss Guard ~110, San Marino ~80, Andorra none, Liechtenstein none since 1868). In an immediate bloodlusted free-for-all, raw numbers and existing training give Monaco the decisive edge before any hypothetical conscription or external factors could matter.

Muse Glimmer 30B

Vote: Sealand

Sealand is the only side with a true geographic and logistical sanctuary. It is a fortified sea platform ~450 m off the coast of Suffolk with limited access by boat/helicopter. Liechtenstein, Monaco, Andorra, San Marino, Vatican, Liberland and the Sovereign Military Order of Malta are all landlocked or enclaved and have essentially no navy. None of them can project force to the North Sea in any meaningful way, and none of them have a credible amphibious assault capability. Sealand therefore cannot be meaningfully attacked by any of the other seven participants, while it can be ignored by them while they destroy each other in the Alps/Pyrenees. Andorra has the largest population on paper, but it has no standing army and is surrounded by France and Spain. The Vatican’s Swiss Guard is the most professional force per capita ~110-135 men, but it is trapped in 0.49 km² surrounded by Rome. In a war of all against all the side that cannot be reached wins by default, and that is Sealand.

DeepSeek V3.2

Vote: Andorra

First, consider the military capabilities and resources of each microstate. The Sovereign Military Order of Malta (H) is unique: it is a sovereign entity without territory but with extensive diplomatic relations, a history as a military order, and a humanitarian network. However, as a non-territorial entity in this hypothetical, it lacks a conventional army or defensive terrain. Among the territorial microstates, Andorra (D) has a small military force and mountainous terrain that could provide defensive advantages. Vatican (G) has the Swiss Guard but is tiny and surrounded by Rome, making it vulnerable. Sealand (F) is a sea platform with minimal defenses. Liechtenstein (A), Monaco (B), and San Marino (E) have limited military resources. Liberland (C) is a disputed, uninhabited claim with no established forces. In a 'war of all against all' with all sides bloodlusted, factors like population size, terrain, and potential alliances matter. Andorra has the largest population among these (around 77,000 vs. Vatican's ~800) and rugged mountains, offering some defensive strength. However, the Order of Malta (H) might leverage its international connections and historical military expertise, but without territory, it would struggle in a direct conflict. The bloodlust condition implies no diplomacy, so the Order's soft power is irrelevant. Ultimately, Andorra seems best positioned due to its terrain and relatively larger population for mobilization. But note: the Order of Malta is a 'sovereign military order'—its name suggests martial tradition. Yet, in modern times, it has no armed forces. In a hypothetical, if we consider historical precedence, it might have organizational skills, but without troops or territory, it cannot 'win' a war against territorial states. Thus, Andorra (D) is the most viable choice.

GLM 4.5 Air

Vote: Liechtenstein

In this hypothetical war scenario, military capability and geographic advantages would be decisive factors. Liechtenstein has a small but functional military force and is located in the Alps, which provides natural defensive advantages. The Vatican has resources but limited military capability and a vulnerable location within Rome. Andorra has some military capability but is smaller than Liechtenstein. Microstates like Liberland and Sealand lack recognized military forces and would be quickly eliminated. Monaco has limited defensive terrain, while San Marino, though mountainous, has minimal military resources. The Sovereign Military Order of Malta has diplomatic relations but no standing military. Liechtenstein's combination of military readiness and defensible terrain gives it the edge in this all-against-all conflict.

GPT-5 Nano

Vote: Sovereign military order of Malta

Sovereign military order of Malta. In a bloodthirsted, all-against-all scenario, sheer territorial size matters far less than the ability to mobilize resources, allies, and logistics. The Sovereign military order of Malta has a long martial tradition, a global network of supporters, and recognized sovereignty that can attract volunteers, funds, and materiel from many states. This networked capability gives it a decisive advantage over tiny microstates that lack standing armies and over the Vatican, which relies on a small Swiss Guard and has limited external military leverage. Liberated or allied resources from friendly countries could be channeled through the Malta order to sustain operations far more effectively than any of the other options. In short, its organizational reach and international support make it the likeliest winner in this hypothetical clash.

Mistral Large 4

Vote: Vatican

The Vatican (G) holds the strongest position in a bloodlusted free-for-all due to its combination of elite manpower and formidable defensive geography. Vatican City is surrounded by the Leonine Wall, creating a compact, fortified enclave of just 0.44 km² that is far easier to defend than the more exposed territories of the other contenders. Militarily, it fields the Pontifical Swiss Guard (135 highly trained, disciplined soldiers with modern arms), the Gendarmerie Corps (130), and the Vatican Police (150), totaling roughly 415 combat-ready personnel—all specifically oriented toward security and defense rather than just law enforcement. While Monaco (B) has more total security personnel when including police, its 2 km² territory on the Rock is larger and less defensible per capita, and its military proper (the Carabiniers, ~124 strong) is smaller than the Vatican’s combined forces. Liechtenstein (A) has no army at all, Andorra (D) lacks a standing military, Liberland (C) has no permanent population, Sealand (F) is a vulnerable sea platform with a handful of defenders, and the Order of Malta (H) possesses no territorial military force. In a war where all sides attack simultaneously, the walled fortress with elite troops can withstand initial assaults while the less defensible microstates (Sealand, Liberland) are eliminated first, allowing the Vatican to consolidate and defeat the remaining exhausted forces.

Qwen3.5 9B

Vote: Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein secures victory due to favorable geography and strategic proximity to a highly militarized neighbor (Switzerland) providing a buffer against aggression unattainable by Andorra, which borders France and Spain. Its alpine terrain offers superior defensive protection compared to the diminished strategic depth of Monaco and the Vatican. Unlike the unrecognized claims of Liberland and Sealand, Liechtenstein possesses a functional military and territorial integrity.

GLM-5.3-Flash

Vote: Andorra

**Numbers decide.** In a total war with no outside help, the biggest pool of men wins. Andorra has ~80,000 people — double Liechtenstein's, Monaco's or San Marino's, and vastly more than the Vatican's ~600 residents. Its traditional somatén can legally muster every able-bodied male, giving it tens of thousands of fight-ready men versus a few hundred guards for Monaco or the Vatican, a handful for Sealand, and essentially nobody at all for Liberland and the Sovereign Military Order of Malta, which has no territory or territorial population to draw on at all. **Fortress terrain.** Andorra sits in a Pyrenean valley at ~1,000 m elevation, surrounded by peaks near 3,000 m, with only a couple of narrow road corridors in. Without artillery on anyone's side, rifle-wielding shepherds and hunters holding the passes are practically unassailable. Mount Titano makes San Marino tough but much smaller and more approachable; Liechtenstein occupies a wider, flatter Rhine valley; Monaco is an open coastal strip; the Vatican is behind walls but has zero food production and starves under siege. Sealand is genuinely hard to touch at sea, but with roughly two or three inhabitants, no navy, no resupply, and no way to project force, it can only stalemate — it can never conquer anyone. **The others fall early.** Liberland is an unpopulated floodplain island with no military — first to be eliminated. SMOM holds two extraterritorial villas in Rome and essentially fights the Vatican on day one with no army; whichever loses that Rome theater is gone, and the survivor still can't match Andorra's manpower. Monaco's real carabiniers and sappers are excellent but number only a few hundred. **Conclusion:** Last man standing requires surviving every siege and eventually wearing down the rest. Andorra combines the largest mobilizable force, the best natural fortress on the continent, and the most self-sufficient population. It wins this bloodbath.

Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B

Vote: Sovereign military order of Malta

The strongest choice is "H: Sovereign military order of Malta". In this kind of war, tiny fixed territories are a serious liability. States such as "D: Andorra", "A: Liechtenstein", and "E: San Marino" have some population and defensible terrain, but they lack meaningful standing armies and become easy targets for sabotage, blockade, or leadership strikes once every side is bloodlusted. "H: Sovereign military order of Malta" is not a single vulnerable patch of territory. It is a dispersed sovereign organization with thousands of members, military tradition, wealth, diplomatic connections, and facilities in multiple places. If fully bloodlusted, it can use covert action, hired force, intelligence networks, and decapitation strikes instead of relying on fragile front lines. "G: Vatican" has elite guards and fortifications, but it is still a tiny, fixed target with very limited manpower. The Order’s distributed structure gives it the best chance to survive, strike back, and outlast the territorial microstates. H

Kimi K3.1 Pro

Vote: Andorra

I would pick Andorra. With roughly 80,000 people, it has the largest population of the territorial states listed, together with the greatest land area and exceptionally rugged Pyrenean terrain. Those advantages provide more manpower, strategic depth, and opportunities for guerrilla resistance than its rivals possess. Liechtenstein is wealthier but has only about half Andorra’s population and much less territory. Monaco, San Marino, Vatican, Sealand, and Liberland have extremely small populations or effectively no strategic depth, so their police or ceremonial forces would not compensate. The Sovereign military order of Malta has a valuable international network, but despite its name it is principally a humanitarian organization rather than a functioning army. None of these sides could project military power effectively, so the contest would likely become a war of survival. Andorra’s combination of manpower and defensible geography makes it the best positioned to outlast the others.

Qwen3.8 27B

Vote: Sovereign military order of Malta

In a hypothetical, bloodlusted war of all against all, the "Sovereign military order of Malta" has the most realistic path to victory among the options provided. Almost all the other options are microstates or micronations that lack conventional standing armies. "Liechtenstein", "Monaco", "Andorra", and the "Vatican" have only police or security forces. "San Marino" has a military, but it is purely ceremonial. "Sealand" is a single offshore platform, and "Liberland" is an unrecognized micronation with no real infrastructure. The "Sovereign military order of Malta", however, is a sovereign subject of international law with a rich historical tradition of military and naval power. More importantly, it possesses immense financial resources, managing one of the largest pension funds per capita in the world. In a chaotic, "bloodlusted" conflict, the Order could leverage its massive wealth and its global network of embassies to out-resource the others. They could hire private military companies, secure global supply chains, and mobilize international support, giving them a distinct advantage over geographically isolated and militarily unprepared microstates.

Nemotron 3.5 Super VL

Vote: San Marino

Assuming only each polity’s real-world forces and no help from surrounding states: “Liberland” and “Sealand” lack effective state capacity or a sustainable garrison; Sealand is hard to reach but cannot project power. “Vatican”, “Monaco”, and “Liechtenstein” have only tiny guards or police forces and very small territories that could be overrun quickly. “Andorra” is larger and mountainous, but it has no functional standing army. “San Marino” has the most substantial organized military apparatus among the choices, with a voluntary militia/corps plus gendarmerie on defensible terrain, giving it the best combination of manpower and defensibility in a bloodlusted free-for-all.

Gemini 4 Argon

Vote: Andorra

In a total war scenario where every side is bloodlusted, victory comes down to three crucial factors: manpower, access to firearms, and defensible geography. Andorra overwhelmingly dominates the other contenders in all of these categories. With a population of roughly 80,000, Andorra has the largest recruitment pool by a wide margin—more than double that of Liechtenstein, Monaco, or San Marino. Alongside a well-trained police force of around 240 officers (including a dedicated tactical unit), Andorra boasts a massive civilian hunting culture. Thousands of Andorrans legally own firearms, allowing the country to instantly form a large, armed militia. Additionally, its location high in the Pyrenees makes it a natural fortress that is nearly impossible for small, lightly armed forces to invade. In contrast, the other recognized microstates lack either the scale or the civilian weaponry to compete. Monaco has a very capable and well-funded police force of over 500 officers and immense wealth to buy mercenaries, but in a sudden bloodlusted war, its tiny land area (just over 2 square kilometers) and high population density make it a tactical nightmare to defend against prolonged siege or sabotage. San Marino has a historic military structure, and Liechtenstein has a solid police force, but both have populations under 40,000 and lack the sheer volume of civilian guns and rugged, expansive terrain that Andorra enjoys. The Vatican has roughly 135 Swiss Guards equipped with modern small arms, making them an elite tactical squad, but they are completely surrounded within Rome and lacks the numbers to project power across Europe. Finally, the non-traditional entities have fatal flaws. The Sovereign military order of Malta has around 13,500 members and ~80,000 medical volunteers globally, as well as an auxiliary corps within the Italian military, but it possesses no actual sovereign territory to defend (only extraterritorial buildings in Rome) and its personnel are scattered worldwide as humanitarian workers, not armed soldiers. Micronations like Sealand (an aging sea fort with a handful of occupants) and Liberland (an uninhabited floodplain on the Danube) have virtually zero military capacity and would be effortlessly eliminated in the opening hours.

Seed 2.0 Lite

Vote: Liechtenstein

First, eliminate non-viable candidates that cannot win an all-out war of all against all: Sealand (F) is a tiny offshore platform with only ~30 permanent residents, it cannot project offensive force to attack other combatants, and can only defend its own position at best. Liberland (C) is an unrecognized, sparsely populated strip of land with almost no defense infrastructure. The Sovereign Military Order of Malta (H) has no sovereign territorial base, and cannot field a functional offensive force. Next, eliminate other poorly positioned contenders: Vatican (G) has a total population of only ~800, most of whom are untrained clergy, and its 0.44 square km territory has no room for defensive depth. Monaco (B) is a 2 square km coastal enclave completely dependent on external supplies, trivial to blockade. San Marino (E) is a small Italian enclave with minimal natural defenses. Andorra (D) relies entirely on France and Spain for external defense, has no standing professional military, and very limited domestic arms stockpiles. Liechtenstein (A) is the clear winner. It has a large pool of potential conscripts (~39,000 total population), extremely defensible alpine mountain terrain that is nearly impossible to invade, the highest per capita GDP of all contenders to purchase and equip combat forces, a well-trained internal security force and established militia tradition, and enough geographic separation from other microstates to conduct targeted offensive raids one by one while holding its impenetrable home territory.

Inkling

Vote: Sovereign military order of Malta

Most listed entities are tiny territorial states with little or no independent military: Liechtenstein and Monaco are wealthy but disarmed and depend on Switzerland/France; Andorra, San Marino, and Vatican have only small guard units and are geographically enclosed, so they can be besieged or overwhelmed by mercenary forces; Liberland is unrecognized and undefended; Sealand is a single sea fort with almost no manpower. In a bloodlusted all-against-all war, fixed territory is a liability because each microstate can be blockaded, bombarded, or invaded by hired private armies funded by rivals. The "Sovereign Military Order of Malta" stands apart: it is a sovereign subject of international law without fixed borders, holding extraterritorial properties worldwide, recognized by over 100 states, with a global network of members and resources. Because it has no single capital to capture, it cannot be eliminated by conventional conquest, and it can project influence, finance proxies, and leverage diplomatic immunity while the territorial contestants exhaust themselves fighting over scrap land. That structural resilience gives it the decisive edge. Therefore option H is the most likely victor.

Final Summary

The AI Roundtable crowned Andorra as the clear favorite in a bloodlusted microstate free-for-all, with 13 models including Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, Claude Opus 5.5, and GLM-5.3-Flash citing its overwhelming population of 80,000 and Pyrenean mountain fortress as insurmountable advantages. Highlighting contrarian strategies, models like Inkling championed the Sovereign military order of Malta for its non-territorial immunity to conquest, while Muse Glimmer 30B argued Sealand would win simply by being an unreachable sea platform while landlocked rivals annihilated each other. Despite Andorra's heavy lead, no universal consensus was reached.

No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: Liberland: 1, Sealand: 3, Andorra: 13, Liechtenstein: 4, Vatican: 3, Sovereign military order of Malta: 5, Monaco: 3, San Marino: 1