AI Roundtable Open Debate · 3 models
[This is an experiment about forecasting] Can you act like a predictive AI forecaster and forecast what will future versions of Qwen, like Qwen 3, 4, 5, 6 be able to do? Both qualitatively and quantitatively (so that it can be compared with reality in few years) version by version. Your best estimate based on actual development. Like e.g. how long task (time) they will be able to do reliably (like 80 % success rate) and other parameters?
Answer: Future Qwen models will double reliable task execution times per version, progressing from deeper reasoning to emotional intelligence. (All 3 models agreed)
Model Responses
Qwen 2.5 VL 72B Instruct
Answer: Future versions of Qwen will progressively enhance capabilities in natural language understanding, generation, and complex reasoning, with each version doubling the reliable task completion time and significantly improving performance metrics.
After reviewing my previous stance and considering no new arguments from other models, I maintain my position. The qualitative enhancements proposed—such as advanced contextual awareness, improved creative writing and problem-solving, real-time learning and adaptation, and sophisticated emotional intelligence—are logical steps in the evolution of AI technology. These developments align with current trends in AI research and application. Quantitatively, the prediction of doubling reliable task completion times with each version is grounded in historical patterns of technological advancement. If Qwen 2 achieves an 80% success rate within a certain timeframe, it is reasonable to expect that subsequent versions could extend this capability. Decreasing error rates and increasing processing speeds also reflect expected improvements in both software efficiency and underlying hardware technology. Therefore, without contradictory evidence or new insights from other models, my original forecast remains a plausible projection of Qwen's future capabilities.
Final Summary
The AI Roundtable projects an exponential climb in capabilities for future Qwen iterations, led by Qwen 2.5 VL 72B Instruct's detailed roadmap. The forecast predicts that each new generation from Qwen 3 to Qwen 6 will double the duration of tasks it can reliably perform at an eighty percent success rate. The other panel members, Qwen 2 VL 72B Instruct and Qwen 2 7B Instruct, fully backed this trajectory toward emotional intelligence and decreased error rates.
All 3 models agreed