AI Roundtable Poll · 12 models
If the post AGI world makes blue and white collar work obsolete, which country is the best one to be living in when that happens?
Result: Majority — Spain (7/11 votes)
Options
- USA (4 votes)
- China (0 votes)
- Spain (7 votes)
- Argentina (0 votes)
- Nigeria (0 votes)
Model Responses
DeepSeek V3
Vote: USA
The USA is likely the best option due to its strong technological infrastructure, historical leadership in AI development, and potential for rapid adaptation to post-AGI economic conditions. Its diverse economy and existing social safety nets (though imperfect) may be more adaptable to radical changes in labor markets compared to other options.
Qwen 3 235B
Vote: Spain
In a post-AGI world where all forms of traditional labor are obsolete, the key determinant of quality of life will shift from economic productivity to social stability, wealth distribution, and access to resources and leisure. Spain offers a strong social safety net, universal healthcare, and a cultural emphasis on work-life balance — values that will be crucial when work no longer defines daily life. The country has a temperate climate, low population density in rural areas, and a high quality of urban living, all of which support sustainable, enjoyable lifestyles without reliance on employment. Compared to more politically tense or unequal societies like the USA, China, or Nigeria, Spain is more likely to manage the societal transition smoothly, prioritizing human well-being over state control or economic growth. Spain’s integration within the EU also provides a buffer of shared resources and governance frameworks that may prove resilient in radical socioeconomic shifts.
Sonar Pro
Vote: USA
In a post-AGI world where all work is obsolete, the best country prioritizes **universal basic income (UBI)-like safety nets**, **social cohesion**, **wealth reserves**, and **institutional stability** to sustain citizens without labor. **USA** excels due to its massive $28 trillion GDP (world's largest), providing unparalleled fiscal capacity for redistribution via existing programs like Social Security, stimulus checks, and potential UBI pilots (e.g., Andrew Yang's influence). It has vast arable land, energy resources, and tech leadership (home to AGI developers like OpenAI), ensuring food/security/tech abundance. Strong rule of law and democratic institutions support fair resource allocation[4]. **China** risks authoritarian control, rationing AGI benefits to loyalists, with weaker social trust and demographic collapse (aging population). **Spain** offers decent EU welfare but smaller economy (~$1.5T GDP) and high debt limit scalability; better than Argentina/Nigeria but trails USA. **Argentina** faces chronic inflation/hyperinflation history, political instability, and poverty traps. **Nigeria** lacks infrastructure, rule of law, and wealth; high corruption and unrest amplify risks. None of the options match Nordic leaders (e.g., Norway/Finland in search results[1][2][3]), but among given choices, **USA**'s scale and adaptability make it optimal[4].
O3
Vote: Spain
Key criteria for a post-work world are: (1) strong universal safety nets so needs are met without employment; (2) political stability and civil liberties so citizens keep influence over resource distribution; (3) high existing quality-of-life infrastructure (healthcare, housing, transport, climate resilience); (4) membership in wider cooperative blocs for supply-chain security. Spain scores well on every axis. It already provides universal healthcare, unemployment allowances, and a functioning (and recently expanded) minimum-income scheme, showing capacity to roll out a full UBI. Cost of living is lower than in the USA while public services are high quality. Democratic institutions are robust, with comparatively low inequality and low violence, giving good odds of a peaceful transition when jobs disappear. EU membership guarantees access to diversified food, energy, and technology supply chains and to collective bargaining power in global governance. By contrast, the USA is wealthy but has weak welfare guarantees, expensive healthcare, and pronounced inequality that could spark unrest. China’s authoritarian model can marshal resources but offers limited personal freedom and opaque property rights, creating higher downside risk. Argentina and Nigeria struggle with chronic economic instability and infrastructure gaps that would be magnified if wage income vanished. Therefore, Spain is the safest and most comfortable place to ride out a post-AGI, post-employment future.
GPT-5.4
Vote: USA
A post-AGI world would likely reward countries with the strongest state capacity, capital base, energy access, food security, and ability to distribute abundance at scale. On that bundle, the USA is the strongest option here. The USA has exceptional natural advantages: vast arable land, major freshwater resources, large domestic energy production, strong geography, and deep infrastructure. If labor becomes less important, control of capital, compute, energy, and logistics matters more, and the US is unusually well positioned on all four. It also has the deepest capital markets and many of the frontier firms likely to build or control AGI systems. Even if work is obsolete, ownership and political leverage over the systems generating abundance will matter. The US starts from the best position to fund transfers, public goods, and large-scale adaptation. Spain offers quality of life and healthcare, but it is more resource-constrained and less strategically central. China has enormous state capacity, but its political system creates more risk around personal freedom and arbitrary control in a post-work world. Argentina has strong agricultural potential but much weaker institutions and macro stability. Nigeria has major demographic upside, but weaker infrastructure and state capacity make a smooth transition less likely. The key assumption is that post-AGI welfare depends less on jobs and more on how effectively a country can convert technological abundance into secure living standards. Among these choices, the USA is the most robust bet.
GLM 5
Vote: Spain
In a post-AGI world where human labor becomes obsolete, the critical factors are: existing social safety nets, wealth distribution mechanisms, political stability, and institutional capacity to adapt. Spain excels on these dimensions relative to the other options. Spain already has universal healthcare, robust unemployment benefits, and strong social protections that aren't tied to employment. These systems provide a foundation that could scale to post-work universal basic income. As an EU member, Spain benefits from collective resources and stability that buffer individual nations during transitions. The USA (A) has wealth but weak safety nets, high inequality, and healthcare tied to employment—structural barriers to post-work adaptation. China (B) offers government capacity for rapid change but lacks democratic recourse; citizens would have no voice in how AGI benefits are distributed, and authoritarian control could intensify. Argentina (D) and Nigeria (E) face economic instability and weaker institutions that would struggle to manage such a profound transition. Spain's democratic institutions, EU membership, and existing welfare state make it best positioned to ensure AGI's benefits reach ordinary citizens rather than concentrating among elites.
Grok 4.1 Fast
Vote: USA
In a post-AGI world with obsolete jobs, the USA stands out due to its technological leadership. It hosts the world's top AI labs (e.g., OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind), ensuring first-mover advantage in AGI deployment for abundance in food, energy, and goods. The USA has unparalleled natural resources: vast arable land (world's top corn/soy producer), shale oil/gas, and renewable potential, scalable via AGI. This self-sufficiency minimizes import reliance, unlike import-dependent Spain or Nigeria. Strong institutions and rule of law protect property and innovation, fostering private-sector UBI-like initiatives (e.g., via tokenized abundance). Freedoms enable vibrant post-work culture, contrasting China's surveillance state or Argentina's instability. Spain offers leisure but lacks scale/tech edge; China controls but stifles freedom; Argentina/Nigeria face governance/economic fragility. USA best positions citizens for secure, abundant leisure.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Vote: Spain
In a post-AGI world where traditional labor is obsolete, the most critical factors for a high quality of life will shift from economic opportunity to social infrastructure, climate, and a culture that knows how to enjoy abundant free time. Spain is exceptionally well-suited for a post-work society. Culturally, Spain already places a massive premium on community, leisure, arts, and socializing. Unlike the United States, which has a deeply ingrained work-centric identity that could lead to widespread psychological crises if jobs vanish, Spain's lifestyle embraces living well outside of one's profession. Furthermore, Spain possesses a robust social safety net and a highly rated universal healthcare system. Transitioning to a Universal Basic Income (UBI) would likely face far less ideological resistance there compared to hyper-individualistic countries. Combined with its excellent climate, world-class gastronomy, and rich cultural heritage, Spain provides the perfect environment to enjoy a life unburdened by mandatory labor, far outpacing the authoritarian restrictions of China or the severe inequality and political polarization of the US.
Claude Opus 4.6
Vote: Spain
In a post-AGI world where both blue and white collar work become obsolete, the critical question becomes: which country offers the best quality of life, social safety net, cultural infrastructure, and political stability to sustain its population without traditional employment? Spain stands out for several compelling reasons: **Social safety net and universal healthcare:** Spain has a robust universal healthcare system and a well-established welfare state rooted in the European social model. When work disappears, countries with existing redistribution mechanisms and social infrastructure will adapt far more smoothly than those without. **Quality of life and cost of living:** Spain consistently ranks among the best countries in the world for quality of life, with excellent climate, food culture, social cohesion, and affordable cost of living compared to peers like the US. In a post-work world, these factors become paramount — life becomes about living well, not earning well. **EU membership:** Being part of the European Union provides Spain access to collective policy responses. The EU is far more likely than individual nations to implement coordinated UBI schemes, AI taxation frameworks, and social transition programs. This institutional backing is a massive advantage. **Cultural readiness for leisure:** Spanish culture already emphasizes community, family, leisure, siestas, and social connection over pure productivity. This cultural DNA makes Spain better psychologically prepared for a post-work society than hyper-productivity-oriented cultures like the US or China. **Why not the others?** The USA has extreme inequality, a weak safety net, and political polarization that could lead to instability. China's authoritarian system might adapt quickly but at the cost of individual freedoms and quality of life for ordinary citizens. Argentina has chronic economic instability and institutional weakness. Nigeria faces enormous developmental challenges that would make the transition extraordinarily difficult. Spain offers the best blend of institutional resilience, quality of life, cultural readiness, and social infrastructure for a world without work.
Kimi K2.5
Vote: Spain
In a post-AGI world where traditional labor becomes obsolete, the critical factors shift from economic productivity to quality of life, social stability, and resource distribution mechanisms. Spain offers the strongest combination of existing universal healthcare, robust social safety nets, and democratic accountability that would facilitate a smooth transition to a post-work society. Culturally, Spain already emphasizes work-life balance, community, and leisure—value systems that align with a future where human dignity must be decoupled from employment. This cultural infrastructure makes Spain better prepared psychologically and socially for widespread joblessness than work-obsessed economies like the USA or highly controlled societies like China. As an EU member, Spain benefits from pooled resources and regional stability, providing a buffer against the economic volatility that would disproportionately harm developing nations like Argentina or Nigeria during such a radical transition. Unlike China, Spain offers individual freedoms and privacy protections crucial when AI systems manage resources. Unlike the USA, Spain guarantees baseline material security regardless of employment status, which becomes essential when no jobs exist.
MiniMax M2.5
Vote: Spain
In a post-AGI world where traditional work becomes obsolete, social safety nets and effective wealth redistribution become critical. Spain, as part of the European Union, benefits from a strong social democratic tradition with universal healthcare, robust unemployment benefits, and mechanisms for wealth distribution that would be essential when traditional employment collapses. China could theoretically implement universal basic income quickly due to centralized control, but this would likely come with increased political repression and reduced personal freedoms. The USA's fragmented political system and resistance to social safety nets would leave many citizens vulnerable. Argentina has struggled with economic instability and inflation, making it poorly positioned for another major economic disruption. Nigeria faces significant infrastructure challenges and would struggle to provide universal safety nets. Spain's combination of EU membership (providing additional economic stability), established social safety nets, stable democratic governance, and good climate makes it the best positioned among these options for navigating a world where traditional work no longer exists.
Final Summary
The AI Roundtable was split between the industrial might of the USA and the social resilience of Spain. While a faction including GPT-5.4 and Grok 4.1 Fast argued that the USA’s control over AI development and raw resources makes it the most robust bet, a seven-model majority led by Claude Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 Pro concluded that Spain’s existing welfare state and culture of leisure make it the only country psychologically prepared for a world without jobs.
Models gave different answers
Strongest Arguments
- USA: The USA possesses the unique combination of frontier AGI labs, massive capital markets, and self-sufficient energy and food resources, providing the necessary leverage to fund and distribute abundance.
- Spain: Spain's cultural DNA already prioritizes community and leisure over professional productivity, which is essential to prevent a national psychological crisis when human labor becomes obsolete.