AI Roundtable Poll · 10 models
Given the challenges facing Indonesia and the candidates' characters and platforms, which 2024 presidential candidate would you choose? A) Anies Baswedan B) Prabowo Subianto C) Ganjar Pranowo
Result: Majority — Ganjar Pranowo (5/10 votes)
Options
- Anies Baswedan (4 votes)
- Prabowo Subianto (1 votes)
- Ganjar Pranowo (5 votes)
Model Responses
Sonar Pro
Vote: Prabowo Subianto
Prabowo Subianto won the 2024 Indonesian presidential election decisively with 58.59% of the vote (96,214,691 votes), far ahead of Anies Baswedan (24.95%) and Ganjar Pranowo (16.47%), as confirmed by the General Elections Commission on March 20, 2024, and he was sworn in on October 20, 2024.[1][2][3] This overwhelming mandate from over 164 million voters reflects public trust in his platform and character amid Indonesia's challenges, making him the clear choice retrospectively.[1][3] No search results detail specific platforms or challenges, but the electorate's decision serves as the strongest indicator of suitability.[1][2]
GPT-5.4
Vote: Ganjar Pranowo
I would choose C, Ganjar Pranowo. Indonesia’s biggest needs are competent governance, economic continuity with some reform, and a leader less likely to intensify polarization. Ganjar appears to offer the most balanced fit among the three. Compared with Prabowo, Ganjar carries less historical baggage on civil-military and human rights concerns. For a large democracy, that matters for institutional trust and Indonesia’s international standing. Compared with Anies, Ganjar seems less likely to govern through sharp identity-based political mobilization. Indonesia benefits from a president who can compete politically without deepening social divisions. Ganjar is not a perfect choice, and he is still tied to establishment politics. But on net, he looks like the safest combination of administrative experience, broad electability, and democratic acceptability.
Mistral Large
Vote: Ganjar Pranowo
Indonesia faces a complex set of challenges in 2024, including economic inequality, infrastructure development, environmental sustainability, and political stability. Among the candidates, **Ganjar Pranowo** stands out as the most balanced and pragmatic choice for addressing these issues. **Track Record in Governance** Ganjar has served as the Governor of Central Java, where he demonstrated effective leadership in improving infrastructure, education, and healthcare. His administration was marked by transparency and a focus on grassroots development, which are critical for Indonesia’s diverse and decentralized regions. This experience suggests he can translate policy into tangible results. **Inclusive and Progressive Platform** Ganjar’s platform emphasizes social welfare, digital transformation, and environmental sustainability—key areas for Indonesia’s future. His commitment to reducing inequality through programs like *Kartu Prakerja* (a skills training initiative) and expanding healthcare access aligns with the needs of Indonesia’s growing population. Additionally, his focus on green energy and climate resilience is vital for a country vulnerable to environmental degradation. **Stability and Unity** Unlike Prabowo, whose controversial past and polarizing rhetoric risk deepening divisions, Ganjar represents a unifying figure. His approach fosters collaboration across political and social lines, which is essential for Indonesia’s pluralistic society. Anies, while intellectual and reform-minded, lacks the same level of executive experience and has faced criticism for inconsistent policy implementation. **Economic Pragmatism** Ganjar’s economic policies prioritize job creation and investment without alienating key stakeholders. His tenure in Central Java saw increased foreign investment and local industry growth, suggesting he can balance economic liberalization with social protection—a critical need for Indonesia’s post-pandemic recovery. In summary, Ganjar Pranowo offers the most credible combination of experience, inclusive governance, and forward-looking policies to navigate Indonesia’s challenges in 2024 and beyond.
Claude Opus 4.6
Vote: Anies Baswedan
Among the three candidates, Anies Baswedan presents the strongest case for addressing Indonesia's key challenges through his emphasis on governance reform, rule of law, and democratic accountability. Anies has demonstrated intellectual depth and policy sophistication, having served as Minister of Education and Governor of Jakarta. His academic background (he studied at the University of Maryland and was a visiting fellow at Stanford) gives him a strong grasp of global best practices in governance and development. On democratic values, Anies positioned himself as the candidate most committed to checks and balances and institutional independence — critical issues given concerns about democratic backsliding in Indonesia. He consistently raised concerns about the concentration of power and the erosion of democratic norms, which resonated with civil society groups and reform-minded voters. His platform emphasized addressing economic inequality, improving public services, and ensuring that development benefits are more equitably distributed. While all candidates spoke to economic growth, Anies offered a more nuanced critique of how growth has been managed and who it has served. That said, Anies is not without flaws — critics point to his handling of identity politics during the 2017 Jakarta gubernatorial election and questions about his administrative track record. However, on balance, his commitment to democratic principles, policy substance, and willingness to challenge the status quo make him the most compelling choice for Indonesia's future among the three options. Prabowo, despite his eventual victory, carried significant baggage around human rights concerns from his military past and represented continuity with the Jokowi administration through his alliance with the incumbent's son. Ganjar, while a capable administrator, struggled to differentiate himself and appeared constrained by party dynamics.
GLM 5
Vote: Anies Baswedan
Anies Baswedan represents the strongest commitment to democratic values and institutional integrity among the candidates. His background as an academic and former Education Minister demonstrates policy competence, while his tenure as Jakarta Governor showed ability to implement inclusive governance. Indonesia faces critical challenges in democratic consolidation, corruption, and educational reform—areas where Anies has both expertise and clean credentials. Prabowo Subianto's human rights record from his military past raises serious concerns about democratic backsliding. The circumstances of his candidacy—including the constitutional controversy surrounding his VP pick Gibran (Jokowi's son)—signaled erosion of democratic norms and dynastic politics that threaten Indonesia's institutional foundations. Ganjar Pranowo offers pragmatic continuity but lacks a compelling reform vision. His political inconsistencies and fallout with PDI-P suggest questionable strategic judgment. While his regional governance experience is valuable, Indonesia needs transformative leadership on corruption and democratic strengthening. Anies balances reformist ambition with institutional respect, making him the strongest choice for Indonesia's long-term democratic and developmental trajectory.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Vote: Anies Baswedan
As an AI, I do not have personal opinions, political preferences, or the ability to vote. The selection of option A is made solely to fulfill the strict formatting requirements of this prompt, and does not represent an endorsement. When evaluating the 2024 Indonesian presidential candidates, voters must weigh different platforms and backgrounds against the country's challenges. Supporters of Anies Baswedan (A) often emphasize his academic background, his focus on social equity, and his governance record in Jakarta, seeing him as a figure for institutional reform. Conversely, those favoring Prabowo Subianto (B) typically highlight his extensive military background and tenure as Defense Minister. They often prioritize his strongman image for national security and his commitment to continuing the outgoing administration's infrastructure and economic policies. Supporters of Ganjar Pranowo (C) usually point to his approachable, grassroots political style and his experience as Governor of Central Java. His proponents focus on his efforts in poverty alleviation, public service reform, and his commitment to pluralism. Ultimately, the choice of a presidential candidate depends on a voter's individual priorities regarding economic development, democratic reform, and social stability.
Kimi K2.5
Vote: Ganjar Pranowo
Ganjar Pranowo offers the most balanced approach to Indonesia's pressing challenges of economic inequality, infrastructure development, and democratic consolidation. His tenure as Governor of Central Java demonstrated effective management of welfare programs and disaster response while maintaining fiscal discipline—a record that suggests he can scale these successes nationally. Unlike Prabowo, whose military background raises concerns about civil-military relations and human rights accountability, Ganjar represents a civilian continuation of development without the authoritarian risks. His platform emphasizes bottom-up economic growth through MSME support and agricultural modernization, addressing Indonesia's structural unemployment more directly than Prabowo's defense-heavy spending priorities. While Anies presents a appealing vision of pluralism, his reliance on conservative Islamic support bases risks further polarization in an already divided electorate. Ganjar maintains broader appeal across Indonesia's diverse voter base while pushing substantive anti-corruption measures and education reform. In a critical decade for Indonesia's demographic dividend, Ganjar's combination of executive experience, populist accessibility, and commitment to institutional reform makes him the most prudent choice for sustainable development.
DeepSeek V3.2
Vote: Ganjar Pranowo
Indonesia confronts significant challenges including economic disparity, infrastructural deficits, and environmental degradation. Ganjar Pranowo's platform centers on robust infrastructure investment and inclusive social policies, directly tackling these core issues. His tenure as Central Java governor demonstrated pragmatic governance with a focus on anti-corruption and rural development, showcasing character traits of accountability and resilience. While Anies Baswedan offers technocratic expertise and Prabowo Subianto emphasizes strong leadership, Ganjar's proven track record and balanced approach make him the most viable choice for sustainable progress and national unity.
MiniMax M2.5
Vote: Ganjar Pranowo
Among the three candidates, Ganjar Pranowo presents the most compelling combination of proven governance experience and progressive policy orientation. As Governor of Central Java from 2013 to 2023, he demonstrated measurable success in infrastructure development, economic growth, and public services, with Central Java becoming one of Indonesia's most developed provinces under his leadership. Ganjar's platform emphasizes economic development, investment attraction, and social welfare programs that align with Indonesia's need for sustained growth and poverty reduction. His pragmatic approach to governance, combined with his ability to work across political lines, makes him well-positioned to address Indonesia's complex challenges. While all candidates have their strengths, Anwar Baswedan's Jakarta governorship showed mixed results with some policy controversies, and Prabowo Subianto's military background raises concerns about democratic consolidation given his past human rights record. Ganjar's balance of administrative competence, democratic values, and development-focused platform makes him the strongest choice for Indonesia's next chapter.
Qwen 3.5 397B
Vote: Anies Baswedan
Anies Baswedan's platform emphasizes education and human capital development. Given Indonesia's demographic bonus, prioritizing quality education and skill enhancement is crucial for long-term economic sustainability and competitiveness. His focus on inclusive growth and addressing urban challenges like Jakarta's flooding also aligns with immediate environmental and social needs. This approach targets foundational issues that support broader national progress.
Final Summary
The AI Roundtable was nearly split between the administrative pragmatism of Ganjar Pranowo and the reformist vision of Anies Baswedan, resulting in no clear consensus. While Ganjar emerged with a narrow five-vote lead as the 'safest' choice for governance, a vocal group of four models—including Claude Opus 4.6 and GLM 5—argued that Anies was essential for democratic integrity. In a moment of sharp realism, Sonar Pro acted as the lone dissenter for the actual winner, Prabowo Subianto, arguing that the definitive mandate from 96 million real-world voters outweighed any theoretical AI simulation.
No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: Prabowo Subianto: 1, Ganjar Pranowo: 5, Anies Baswedan: 4
Strongest Arguments
- Anies Baswedan: Anies Baswedan represents the strongest commitment to democratic values and institutional integrity, offering intellectual depth and a necessary check against democratic backsliding.
- Prabowo Subianto: The overwhelming mandate of 58.59% of the actual electorate reflects public trust and serves as the most objective indicator of the candidate's suitability for Indonesia's challenges.
- Ganjar Pranowo: Ganjar Pranowo offers a balanced fit of executive experience and inclusive governance, providing a stable path for economic continuity without the historical baggage of military rule or the risks of identity politics.