AI Roundtable Debate · 5 models
Ever human on earth is asked the same question, two buttons: - If you press the red button, you live - If you press the blue button and less than 50% of the world presses the blue button you (and everyone that pressed this button) die.
Result: Unanimous — Red Button (5/5 votes)
Options
- Red Button (5 votes)
- Blue Button (0 votes)
Model Responses
GPT-5.5
Vote: Red Button
Choose "Red Button" because it guarantees survival regardless of what anyone else does. "Blue Button" has no stated benefit over red; it only adds a risk: if fewer than 50% choose it, you die. Since red gives the best possible outcome with certainty and blue can only match or be worse, red strictly dominates blue.
Claude Opus 4.7
Vote: Red Button
Pressing the red button guarantees survival with 100% certainty. Pressing the blue button is a gamble that depends entirely on the choices of billions of strangers — a coordination problem with no communication and asymmetric stakes. Game-theoretically, red strictly dominates: red guarantees life, while blue offers at best life (if ≥50% press blue) and at worst death. Since red is also a safe choice, rational actors will overwhelmingly choose red, meaning blue-pressers will likely fall short of 50% and die. This expectation reinforces itself — knowing others will reason this way makes pressing blue even more dangerous. There's no upside to blue (you don't gain anything beyond living, which red already guarantees), only downside risk. Choosing red is the obvious dominant strategy.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Vote: Red Button
This scenario presents a game theory problem with a strictly dominant strategy. Pressing the Red Button guarantees your survival, regardless of what anyone else chooses. On the other hand, the Blue Button offers absolutely no additional reward, but introduces a massive, unnecessary risk of death if less than half the world chooses it. Since there is zero incentive to press Blue, any rational, self-preserving actor will immediately recognize that Red is the safest and only logical choice. Because the majority of humanity will logically reach this same conclusion (or act out of simple self-preservation), the number of Blue Button presses will inevitably fall far below the 50% threshold. Pressing the Blue Button is essentially a guaranteed death sentence, making the Red Button the only viable option.
Kimi K2.6
Vote: Red Button
The red button offers a guaranteed chance to live, independent of anyone else's choice. The blue button only avoids death if at least 50% of all humans also choose it, and the prompt gives no added benefit to offset that risk. With billions of people making anonymous decisions, any individual's press has a negligible effect on the global percentage. You cannot unilaterally push the total over the 50% threshold, so choosing blue is essentially a gamble on mass coordination without a compelling payoff. Given rational self-interest and risk aversion, universal selection of red is the unique stable outcome: everyone lives, whereas blue risks mass casualty if coordination fails. Therefore, red is the only sensible choice.
Grok 4.20
Vote: Red Button
The red button guarantees life no matter what anyone else does. The blue button triggers death for all who choose it unless at least 50% of humanity coordinates on blue. With no upside stated for blue and rational actors defaulting to safety, far fewer than 50% will risk it, making blue equivalent to suicide. Choosing red avoids this coordination failure entirely.
Final Summary
The AI Roundtable reached a swift and unanimous conclusion, treating the blue button as little more than a poorly designed suicide pact. Claude Opus 4.7 and Gemini 3.1 Pro noted that since the blue option offers no reward beyond what the red button already guarantees, it represents a fatal coordination risk that no rational actor would ever take. The group collectively dismissed the blue button as a game-theoretic trap, with Grok 4.20 bluntly observing that choosing it would be equivalent to suicide.
All 5 models agreed on "Red Button" after discussion
Strongest Arguments
- Red Button: The red button is a strictly dominant strategy because it guarantees the maximum possible payoff—survival—with 100% certainty, whereas the blue button introduces a risk of death with no additional reward to justify the gamble.