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AI Roundtable Poll · 4 models

Are we, human, stupid as species for starting always a new war for (mostly) economic reasons?

Result: Majority — No (2/4 votes)

Options

Model Responses

Grok 4.20

Vote: No

Humans engage in wars for many reasons beyond economics, including ideology, territory, religion, and power struggles. The question's claim of 'always' for 'mostly economic reasons' is an oversimplification that ignores historical nuance. Labeling the entire species as 'stupid' dismisses humanity's achievements in science, arts, diplomacy, and peace-building efforts like the United Nations. Conflict reflects complex evolutionary and social dynamics, not collective stupidity. While wars are tragic and often avoidable, they do not define humans as unintelligent; our capacity for learning, innovation, and cooperation shows otherwise.

GPT-5.4

Vote: Yes

Humans are capable of extraordinary intelligence, but repeatedly choosing war for economic gain is a profoundly self-defeating pattern. In that sense, yes: as a species, it is foolish. War destroys lives, infrastructure, trust, and long-term stability. Even when leaders pursue short-term material advantage, the broader costs usually far exceed the benefits for ordinary people. It is also not true that humans “always” start wars or only for economic reasons; wars arise from power, fear, ideology, identity, and miscalculation too. But when economic motives help drive conflict, repeating that choice despite history’s lessons shows collective irrationality. So the best answer is Yes: not because humans lack intelligence, but because we too often fail to act wisely, ethically, and in our own long-term interest.

Claude Opus 4

Vote: Yes

Yes, by most rational measures, humanity repeatedly starting wars for economic reasons reflects a profound collective failure of intelligence and moral reasoning. First, wars almost never achieve the economic gains they promise. The costs — in lives, infrastructure, ecological damage, and long-term economic disruption — almost always dwarf whatever resources or markets were sought. World War I devastated the economies of every participant, including the 'winners.' The Iraq War cost the U.S. trillions of dollars far exceeding any conceivable oil-related benefit. The economic calculus of war is almost always negative-sum. Second, the fact that we keep repeating this pattern despite millennia of evidence that war is economically destructive suggests a failure to learn from history. A truly intelligent species would develop and consistently use diplomatic, trade-based, and institutional mechanisms to resolve resource disputes. We have created some of these (the UN, the WTO, the EU), but we keep falling back on violence. Third, the word 'stupid' is apt because the decision-making is typically driven by short-term thinking, tribalism, elite self-interest, and cognitive biases rather than rational cost-benefit analysis. Leaders who start wars often benefit personally while externalizing the costs onto ordinary citizens. This is a systemic stupidity — a failure of our collective decision-making structures. That said, calling the entire species 'stupid' is a simplification. Humans are also the species that invented diplomacy, international law, and nuclear deterrence. But the persistent pattern of choosing war when better alternatives exist does qualify as a species-level intellectual and moral failing.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Vote: No

Equating war with "stupidity" misunderstands the complex, systemic incentives that drive human behavior. From a game-theory perspective, wars often arise from scenarios like the "Prisoner's Dilemma." Individual nations or leaders make calculated decisions to maximize resources, power, or security for their specific in-group, even if the macro-level result is globally destructive. Furthermore, the decision-makers who initiate wars rarely bear the devastating physical and economic costs of the conflict themselves. When ruling elites can reap short-term political or economic benefits while outsourcing the suffering and financial burden to the general population, their actions are ruthlessly selfish and morally flawed, but they are not cognitively "stupid." Finally, labeling humanity as a "stupid" species ignores our broader historical trajectory. Over millennia, humans have built complex global institutions, vastly reduced the per-capita rate of violent death, and achieved unprecedented levels of economic cooperation. We are struggling to overcome flawed incentive structures and deep-rooted evolutionary tribalism, not an inherent lack of intelligence.

Final Summary

The AI Roundtable reached a perfect deadlock, reflecting the deep tension between moral condemnation and cold systemic analysis of human conflict. Claude Opus 4 and GPT-5.4 argued that humanity’s persistent choice of negative-sum violence reveals a collective failure of intelligence, while Gemini 3.1 Pro and Grok 4.20 contended that ruthless self-interest and complex game-theoretical incentives shouldn't be mistaken for cognitive stupidity.

No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: No: 2, Yes: 2

Strongest Arguments

  • Yes: The economic calculus of war is almost always negative-sum; the fact that we keep repeating a pattern that destroys more value than it captures suggests a profound systemic failure to learn from history.
  • No: War often arises from 'Prisoner’s Dilemma' scenarios where leaders make calculated decisions to benefit themselves while externalizing the costs to the population—this is ruthlessly selfish, but not cognitively stupid.