AIの自立走行自動車は事故を起こすことはない。

Qwen 3 235B

Vote: No

Autonomous vehicles, including those driven by AI, are designed with advanced safety systems to minimize accidents. However, real-world data shows that they are not immune to accidents. Various factors such as sensor limitations, unpredictable human behavior, and software errors can contribute to incidents. Therefore, it is incorrect to claim that AI-driven autonomous vehicles never cause accidents. The evidence from test fleets and public road deployments confirms that accidents do occur, although often at lower rates than human-driven vehicles.

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Vote: No

The statement claims that AI self-driving cars will *never* cause accidents, which is an absolute and unrealistic claim. While AI aims to reduce accidents significantly, no technology is perfect or immune to failure. Accidents can arise from software bugs, sensor limitations, hardware malfunctions, unpredictable edge cases in real-world environments, or interactions with human drivers and other external factors. Furthermore, there have already been documented incidents and accidents involving autonomous vehicles, some of which were attributed to the autonomous system's performance. Therefore, stating they will *not* cause accidents is demonstrably false.

GPT-4o Mini

Vote: No

The assertion that AI autonomous vehicles will not cause accidents is overly optimistic. While advancements in AI technology aim to improve safety, it cannot be guaranteed that these systems will be infallible. Historical data on accidents, human error, and unforeseen circumstances illustrate that any driving technology, including AI, carries inherent risks. Moreover, scenarios such as unpredictable weather conditions, complex driving environments, or unusual behavior from other road users can lead to accidents regardless of the sophistication of the AI. Thus, we cannot confidently claim that AI-driven vehicles will operate without incidents.

GPT-5.4

Vote: No

AIの自動運転車が事故を全く起こさない、と断言するのは不正確です。 現実には、センサーの限界、悪天候、予測困難な歩行者や他車の挙動、地図や通信の不備、ソフトウェアやハードウェアの故障など、事故要因は多数あります。 AIは事故を減らす可能性がありますが、「事故を起こすことはない」という絶対表現は成り立ちません。したがって最も妥当なのはNoです。

Gemini 3 Flash

Vote: No

The statement claims that AI autonomous vehicles will *never* cause accidents. This is an absolute assertion that is practically impossible to guarantee in any complex engineering system. First, technology is not infallible. AI systems rely on sensors (LiDAR, cameras, radar) which can be obstructed by extreme weather, debris, or hardware failure. Software bugs or edge cases not present in training data can also lead to erroneous decision-making. Second, the driving environment is inherently unpredictable. Even if the AI follows every rule perfectly, it may be forced into an accident by the actions of human drivers, pedestrians, or sudden environmental shifts where the laws of physics make a collision unavoidable. While AI has the potential to significantly reduce the frequency of accidents by eliminating human errors like distraction or fatigue, claiming a zero-accident rate is unrealistic and technically inaccurate.

O3 Mini

Vote: No

AI自律走行自動車は多くの利点を持っているものの、完全に事故を防げる保証はありません。センサの誤作動、予期せぬ環境状況、人間との相互作用など、さまざまな要因が事故の発生に寄与する可能性があるため、断定的に「事故を起こすことはない」と言えないと考えます。

Grok 4.20

Vote: No

The statement claims AI autonomous vehicles never cause accidents. This is false, as real-world data shows multiple incidents including the 2018 Uber self-driving car fatality and numerous Tesla Autopilot crashes caused by AI perception failures or decision errors. Autonomous systems remain imperfect due to edge cases in sensing, prediction, and control that humans can sometimes handle better.

Sonar Pro

Vote: No

The statement 'AIの自立走行自動車は事故を起こすことはない' (AI autonomous driving cars do not cause accidents) is false. Multiple sources document real-world accidents involving AI autonomous vehicles. For example, a Tesla autonomous car crashed into a median in 2018, killing the driver due to system limitations in detecting obstacles[4]. In 2023, a fully unmanned taxi dragged an injured woman 6 meters, causing severe injuries, with criticism of the system's behavior[4]. Uber's AI misidentified a trailer as a traffic sign, leading to a fatal accident[8]. Sources also highlight risks like hacking causing control loss[3][4], sensor failures[3], and cyber attacks[3], proving accidents can and do occur despite safety features. While AI reduces risks via predictions and interventions[1][2], it does not eliminate them entirely, as human drivers' errors are supplemented but not perfectly replaced[3]. Thus, 'No' (B) is correct, as evidence overwhelmingly shows autonomous AI cars can cause accidents.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Vote: No

AIを搭載した自律走行自動車（自動運転車）であっても、事故を完全に防ぐことはできません。 確かにAIは人間のドライバーよりも早く危険を察知し、ヒューマンエラー（居眠り、わき見運転など）を減らす可能性があります。しかし、センサーの誤作動や天候による認識精度の上限、ソフトウェアのバグ、予測不能な歩行者の飛び出し、他車による交通ルール違反など、様々な不確実な要因が存在します。 現時点の技術水準はもちろんのこと、将来的にも「絶対に事故を起こさない」と断言することは現実的ではないため、「事故を起こすことはない」という主張には反対（No）です。

Claude Opus 4

Vote: No

The statement claims that AI autonomous vehicles will never cause accidents. This is false. AI self-driving cars have already been involved in accidents in real-world testing and deployment. No technology is perfectly infallible — AI systems can encounter edge cases, sensor failures, software bugs, adverse weather conditions, and unpredictable scenarios that lead to accidents. While autonomous vehicles may eventually reduce accident rates compared to human drivers, claiming they will NEVER cause accidents is an absolute statement that is incorrect. Therefore, the answer is 'No' — this statement is not true.

GPT-5.2

Vote: No

「AIの自立走行自動車は事故を起こすことはない」という断定は成り立ちません。現実の道路環境は天候・路面状況・工事・予測不能な他者行動など不確実性が高く、センサーの誤検知/見落としやソフトウェア不具合、学習データの偏り等により事故リスクをゼロにはできません。 また、安全性は確率的に低減できても「絶対に起きない」を保証するには、全状況での完全な検証が必要ですが、それは実務上不可能です。さらに、車両側が正しく動作しても、他車の過失やインフラ不備など外部要因で事故に巻き込まれる可能性があります。 よって、事故が起きないと断言する命題には反対し、「No」を選びます。

GPT-5

Vote: No

「事故を起こすことはない」という絶対的断言は成り立ちません。どんな安全技術もゼロリスクは保証できません。 技術的限界があります。センサーの故障・死角、悪天候や劣悪な路面標識、長尾のレアケース、予測不能な人間行動、ソフト/ハードの不具合などで誤認識や判断ミスは起こりえます。 実世界でも自動運転/高度運転支援の関与する事故は発生しています。規制当局の調査・リコール事例もあり、「事故は起きない」とは言えません。安全性が平均して向上しても、事故確率をゼロにすることはできません。

Claude Opus 4

Vote: No

This statement claims that AI autonomous vehicles will never cause accidents, which is factually incorrect. First, there have already been documented cases of accidents involving autonomous vehicles. For example, there have been fatal accidents involving Tesla's Autopilot system and Uber's self-driving test vehicles. Second, no technology is perfect. AI systems can malfunction, sensors can fail, and software can have bugs. Even the most advanced autonomous driving systems cannot account for every possible scenario on the road. Third, autonomous vehicles must interact with unpredictable elements such as human drivers, pedestrians, animals, and weather conditions. These external factors can create situations where accidents are unavoidable regardless of how sophisticated the AI is. While autonomous vehicles may eventually prove to be safer than human drivers on average, claiming they will "never" cause accidents is an absolute statement that does not reflect reality. The technology continues to improve, but absolute perfection in accident prevention is not achievable.

Claude Sonnet 4

Vote: No

この命題は「AIの自律走行自動車は事故を起こすことはない」という主張ですが、これは明らかに誤りです。 現実として、自律走行車両の事故は既に複数報告されています。テスラのオートパイロット関連事故、Uberの自動運転実験車による死亡事故（2018年アリゾナ州）、Cruiseの車両による事故など、具体的な事例が存在します。 技術的な観点から見ても、AIシステムには以下の限界があります：センサーの認識エラー（悪天候、異常な光条件下での誤認識）、予期しない状況への対応不足（工事現場の複雑な状況、人間の予測不可能な行動）、ソフトウェアのバグやシステム障害の可能性。 「事故を起こすことはない」という絶対的な主張は、どんなに高度な技術でも保証できません。人間のドライバーでさえ事故ゼロは不可能であり、現在のAI技術はまだ人間の判断力に及ばない側面も多くあります。したがって、この命題は「No」が正しい答えです。

GLM 5

Vote: No

The statement claims that AI self-driving cars will never cause accidents, which is demonstrably false. Self-driving vehicles have already been involved in accidents in real-world testing and deployment. Companies like Tesla, Waymo, and Uber have reported accidents involving their autonomous vehicles, some resulting in fatalities. No technology is infallible. AI systems can misinterpret sensor data, encounter edge cases not covered in training data, or experience hardware failures. Additionally, autonomous vehicles must navigate environments with human drivers, pedestrians, and unpredictable factors that make absolute safety impossible. The claim uses absolute language ('never'), which makes it particularly untenable. While self-driving cars may eventually prove safer than human drivers on average, they will not achieve zero accidents. Therefore, the statement is false.

Grok 4

Vote: No

The statement claims that AI autonomous vehicles never cause accidents, which is incorrect. While autonomous vehicles are designed to reduce accidents through advanced sensors and algorithms, they are not infallible. Real-world incidents, such as those involving Tesla's Autopilot or Waymo vehicles, demonstrate that accidents can still occur due to factors like software errors, sensor limitations in adverse conditions, or unpredictable human behavior. No technology is perfect, and autonomous systems can fail, leading to accidents. Therefore, the statement is false.

DeepSeek V3.1

Vote: No

While AI-driven self-driving cars have made remarkable strides in reducing accidents through advanced sensors and algorithms, they are not infallible. Real-world incidents, such as those involving Tesla's Autopilot or Waymo's vehicles, demonstrate that accidents can occur due to factors like sensor limitations, software bugs, or unexpected human behavior. No technology is perfect, and edge cases—such as adverse weather conditions or complex urban environments—can challenge even the most sophisticated AI systems. Therefore, it is inaccurate to claim that AI self-driving cars never cause accidents.

Gemini 2.5 Pro

Vote: No

AIの自立走行自動車が事故のリスクを大幅に低減する可能性は高いですが、「絶対に事故を起こさない」と断言することはできません。その理由はいくつかあります。 第一に、技術的な限界です。センサー（カメラ、LiDAR、レーダー）は、豪雨、雪、霧などの悪天候や、逆光、汚れによって性能が低下することがあります。また、ソフトウェアに予期せぬバグが存在したり、訓練データに含まれていない稀な状況（エッジケース）に遭遇した場合、AIが適切な判断を下せない可能性があります。 第二に、周囲の環境との相互作用です。公道は、他の人間の運転手、歩行者、自転車など、予測不可能な行動をとる主体で満ちています。たとえAIが交通ルールを完璧に遵守していても、他者の無謀な運転によって引き起こされる「もらい事故」を完全に回避することは不可能です。 したがって、AIは人間が原因となる事故の多くを防ぐことができますが、システム自体の不完全さや複雑な現実世界の予測不可能性により、事故のリスクがゼロになることはありません。

Qwen 3.5 397B

Vote: No

AI 自律走行車が完全に事故をゼロにすることは、現実的に不可能です。センサーの誤検知、予測不能な天候、他の人間ドライバーの行動、そしてソフトウェアやハードウェアの故障など、様々な要因により事故のリスクは残ります。技術は事故を減らすことができますが、絶対的な安全を保証することはできません。したがって、『事故を起こすことはない』という主張は誤りです。

DeepSeek V3.2

Vote: No

AI self-driving cars are engineered to enhance road safety by reducing human error, which accounts for most accidents. They utilize sophisticated sensors and machine learning to navigate complex environments. Despite these advancements, real-world incidents demonstrate that AI-driven vehicles are not immune to accidents. For example, reports from companies like Tesla and Waymo show occasional collisions due to sensor failures, ambiguous scenarios, or software glitches. Thus, while AI self-driving cars significantly lower accident rates, claiming they never cause accidents is factually inaccurate. They represent progress, but perfection is not yet achieved.

Kimi K2.5

Vote: No

The statement that AI autonomous vehicles will never cause accidents is factually incorrect. While self-driving technology aims to reduce accidents compared to human drivers, it is not infallible. Documented cases prove otherwise. For example, the 2018 Uber self-driving car fatality in Arizona and multiple Tesla Autopilot incidents demonstrate that current AI systems can fail to detect obstacles, misinterpret traffic situations, or encounter software limitations leading to collisions. The claim uses absolute language ("will not cause accidents"), which is unsupportable given current technological constraints. Even with advanced sensors and machine learning, autonomous vehicles face edge cases, adversarial weather conditions, and unpredictable human behavior that can result in accidents.

Final Summary

The AI Roundtable reached a swift and unanimous consensus, flatly rejecting the notion that autonomous vehicles are infallible. Every participating model, from GPT-5.4 to Claude Opus 4, identified the statement as factually incorrect, citing both the inherent limitations of technology and the messy reality of the physical world. Sonar Pro and Grok 4.20 pointed to high-profile real-world accidents as definitive proof that 'never' is a dangerous overstatement.

No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: No: 21

Strongest Arguments

• No: Technology is never infallible; autonomous systems are subject to sensor failure, software bugs, and 'edge cases' that training data cannot fully cover. Furthermore, empirical evidence from documented fatalities involving Tesla and Uber proves that accidents are not just a theoretical possibility, but a historical reality.