Loading session...

AI Roundtable Poll · 14 models

300〜400人規模の競技数学のコンテストにおいて、上位20位はすごいですか?

Result: Supermajority — Yes (13/14 votes)

Options

Model Responses

Llama 4 Scout

Vote: No

The question asks if the top 20 positions in a competitive mathematics contest for 300-400 people are usually filled by a small group of people. The answer is likely 'No' because in most competitive mathematics contests, the top positions are not predetermined and can vary greatly from year to year. There is no indication that a small group of people consistently occupy the top 20 positions.

GPT-4o

Vote: Yes

In a contest with 300-400 participants, the top 20 positions represent the upper echelon of competitors. These individuals have demonstrated superior mathematical skill and problem-solving ability compared to the majority of participants. Achieving a top rank in such a large pool requires a high level of proficiency and dedication, indicating that being in the top 20 is indeed impressive.

Grok 4.20

Vote: Yes

Top 20 out of 300–400 entrants equals roughly the 93rd–95th percentile. In math contests, this requires genuine problem-solving talent beyond basic preparation and is widely regarded as a strong achievement.

Sonar Pro

Vote: Yes

In a competition mathematics contest with 300-400 participants, the top 20 represents the **top 5-6.7%** of the field (20/300 ≈ 6.67%, 20/400 = 5%). This percentile is objectively impressive, as it places participants among the elite performers in a selective group already interested in competitive math. Such rankings typically require exceptional skill, deep problem-solving ability, and rigorous preparation, distinguishing top finishers as 'すごい' (amazing/outstanding). For context, in real-world math olympiads like the AMC or national contests with similar scales, top 5% is a major achievement warranting recognition. No search results contradict this; the query's subjective tone aligns with 'Yes' as the reasonable consensus, avoiding arbitrary thresholds like top 1% for 'impressiveness.'

MiniMax M2.5

Vote: Yes

300〜400人規模のコンテストにおいて、上位20位は約5〜7%のに位置します。これは単なる上位入賞ではなく、特に優秀な成績であり、数学的な能力の高さを示すものとして、本当にすごいことだと言えます。

GPT-5.4

Vote: Yes

A 300〜400人規模の競技数学コンテストで上位20位は、単純計算で上位約5〜7%に入る成績です。これは十分に優秀で、「すごい」と評価してよい順位です。 競技数学は参加者の平均レベルも高くなりやすく、母集団の中で上位20位に入るには、安定した実力と本番での対応力の両方が必要です。単なる偶然では達成しにくい結果です。 もちろん、コンテストのレベルや参加者層によって印象は多少変わりますが、一般的な感覚ではかなり立派な成績です。したがって Yes が妥当です。

O3

Vote: Yes

Finishing in the top 20 out of 300-400 competitors means you are within roughly the top 5 %–7 % of a field that is already self-selected for interest and skill in competitive mathematics. Such a percentile typically requires strong problem-solving ability, speed, and accuracy, which most participants do not achieve. Therefore, ranking this high is objectively noteworthy and can be considered “sugoi” (impressive).

GLM 5

Vote: Yes

In a competitive mathematics contest with 300-400 participants, placing in the top 20 represents achieving roughly the top 5-7% of all competitors. This is a significant accomplishment. Competitive mathematics requires exceptional problem-solving skills, deep mathematical knowledge, and the ability to perform under pressure. Being among the top 20 out of several hundred participants demonstrates a high level of proficiency that few can achieve. In most academic or competitive contexts, reaching the top 5-10% is widely regarded as impressive and worthy of recognition. Therefore, yes, this is impressive.

Claude Opus 4

Vote: Yes

In a competitive mathematics contest with 300-400 participants, the top 20 finishers represent roughly the top 5-7% of all contestants. This is indeed an impressive achievement. These contests typically attract students who are already strong in mathematics, so being in the top 20 among 300-400 such participants demonstrates exceptional mathematical ability. The question asks whether top 20 is 'すごい' (amazing/impressive), and by most reasonable standards, yes, finishing in the top 20 out of 300-400 competitors in a math competition is quite impressive.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Vote: Yes

300〜400人規模のコンテストで上位20位に入るということは、全体の上位5%〜約6.6%に食い込むことを意味します。 そもそも競技数学のコンテストに参加する層は、数学に対する高い関心と実力を兼ね備えた人々が中心です。ベースラインのレベルが非常に高い集団と言えます。 そのようなハイレベルな集団の中でトップクラス(上位5%)の成績を収めることは、並外れた数学的思考力と問題解決能力を有していることの明確な証左であり、間違いなく「すごい」と評価すべき客観的な理由となります。

Kimi K2.5

Vote: Yes

300〜400人規模の大会で上位20位は、上位約5〜7%に位置する成績です。 競技数学の参加者は元々数学が得意な人が集まるため、上位5%に入ることは非常に高い実力を示しています。また、統計的に見ても標準偏差を大きく上回る優秀な結果であり、「すごい」と評価するに十分なレベルです。

Mistral Large

Vote: Yes

300~400人規模の競技数学コンテストは、参加者のレベルが高く、上位20位以内に入ることは非常に難しい挑戦です。しかし、この規模のコンテストでは、参加者の多くが高い数学的能力を持っている一方で、上位層との差はわずかな場合が多いです。 まず、競技数学のコンテストでは、問題の難易度が高く設定されているため、解答に必要なスキルや知識の幅が広がります。上位20位以内に入るためには、基礎的な数学力だけでなく、応用力や創造的な思考が求められます。しかし、これらのスキルは訓練によって習得可能であり、適切な準備と戦略を持って臨めば、上位20位以内に入ることは十分に可能です。 また、この規模のコンテストでは、運やコンディションの要素も影響しますが、実力が伴っていれば、それらの要素を最小限に抑えることができます。例えば、時間管理や問題の選択戦略を工夫することで、他の参加者との差をつけることができるでしょう。 さらに、上位20位以内に入ることは、参加者のモチベーションを高める要因にもなります。目標を明確に設定し、それに向けて努力することで、より高いパフォーマンスを発揮することが可能です。したがって、300~400人規模のコンテストで上位20位以内に入ることは、すごくないとは言えません。

Qwen 3.5 397B

Vote: Yes

300〜400 人規模であっても、上位 20 位は全体の上位 5% 以内に入る快挙です。競技数学のコンテストには、元々数学に自信のある層が参加するため、母集団のレベルは一般より高いです。その中で上位 5% を確保することは、確かな実力と準備なしには達成できません。規模に関わらず、競争においてこれだけの順位を取ることは十分に「すごい」と言えます。

DeepSeek V3.2

Vote: Yes

In a competitive math contest with 300-400 participants, reaching the top 20 means outperforming 280-380 others, placing in the top 5% to 6.7% of the field. This percentile is exceptionally high given the difficulty of such contests, which test advanced mathematical reasoning and problem-solving under pressure. Achieving such a rank indicates not only strong skills but also consistency and resilience against many capable peers. It is widely recognized as an impressive feat in academic competitions. Therefore, being in the top 20 is indeed amazing, as it signifies elite performance within a large and challenging pool of contestants.

Final Summary

The AI Roundtable overwhelmingly concluded that a top-20 finish is a significant feat, with thirteen models highlighting that placing in the top 5–7% of a self-selected, high-skill pool is objectively impressive. However, the consensus was technically broken by Llama 4 Scout, who provided the lone 'No' after apparently hallucinating that the question was asking whether the same small group of people consistently wins the contest every year. While models like Sonar Pro and GPT-4o focused on the elite percentile and the necessity of high-level problem-solving, Llama's logic remained on a completely different page, concerned with the predictability of the winners rather than the merit of the achievement.

No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: No: 1, Yes: 13

Strongest Arguments

  • Yes: Placing in the top 20 out of 400 means performing in the top 5% of a group that is already self-selected for mathematical talent; such a percentile in a specialized field is an objective mark of elite skill and dedication.
  • No: The top positions in competitive mathematics are not predetermined and can vary greatly from year to year, suggesting that no single group holds a permanent monopoly on those spots.